RE: How low this time and how fast? Thoughts generally??7 Apr 2025 10:53
Walp - I agree with LLL you decide what's best for your future with regards to investment.
Previously I'v been negative towards SMT, but they changed their weighting somewhat to something closer to what I would hoping and bought stocks that aligned with my understanding of what SMT stood for.
The current volatility is down to the Cheeto pasted buffoon as POTUS. Either he doesn't understand what he's doing and can't be convinced or he does regardless of advice, and then chooses to ignore it so he doesn't look more foolish. Check out the value of his and his wife's MEME coins just for a laugh.
Regardless, I do believe we'll see a rapid turnaround. Despite him running maybe the most powerful country in the world, I do believe there are other's who can collectively bear down on him and sway him...they just haven't cracked yet.
Smoe big companies are being taking down to silly valuations at the moment. Once the weak hands disperse and you're left with those holding based on fundamentals, money managers will buy back in. Won't be quick owing to Trump's uncertainty, but will happen. I'm at least 17 years away from retiring (though I'm sure that goal post will be shifted when I get to 65), so drip feeding my pensions at these levels and buying units in OEICs monthly is a once in a lifetime chance for me. I recently bagged a full year's worth of dividends in PHNX and MNG within a 7 day period of going ex-Div all thanks to Trump. So depends on your horizon. I was able to do that, but if I had retired, I probably wouldn't want that stress now.
What I am curious about regardless of stock prices is how the World order will shape itself. I do feel the US is alienating themselves against the World, and personally there's no reason why the RoW can't trade freely amongst themselves without the US. On Radio 4 this morning, they asked the very same question and stated that 14 % of global trade is due to the US. Non-negligible, but can still be massaged out. Canada has a lot to offer us. Trumps's belief that he can bring jobs and manufacturing back to the US is nuts. They don't have queues of people waiting outside factories ready to work. People don't fear losing their jobs. The US became too expensive to manufacture. As well, the quality of American made goods in some respects is questionable, especially high volume. Look at Tesla made cars. The build quality is shocking if you've ever owned one. I test drove one and have to say it felt like a step backwards. Yes, they're a powerful brand, but ride comfort for that price? American made cars don't sell well in Europe owing to failing stringent safety laws and how they drive and look. We don't aspire to owning them.Work ethic is awful (Britain take note!)
Good luck in whatever you choose to do.