Oil and RKH thoughts23 Nov 2018 14:31
I have a pretty decent sized long position in RKH and sill comfortable with my binary bet...either the oil comes out the sea bed and I make a lot of money or it doesn't and I lose the money I've risked...earlier this summer I thought the odds were 60-40 in my favour, a week ago 50-50 but now with Oil looking "challenged" I think the odds have gone against us to 40-60. Still a bet worth placing and as I have an average price of just over 23p I am in reasonable shape.
What I don't get about this board and people in general is how personally different views are taken. I have been in this stock for many years...caught the falling knife and invested heavily to average down (not something I typically advocate) as I believe (and still do, just about) that Sealion and FI in general could be a gamechanger. All decisions I have made are based on DYOR and IMHO and that's as it should be. If I lose every penny I have risked in the FI I will blame nobody but myself....eyes wide open.
...and so to Oil….I think our biggest risk here is timing, a lower oil price will to a varying extent impact us for a number of reasons:
Premier will have slower debt repayment which will potentially reduce their new risk appetite, Securing funding could be more difficult if oil sector sentiment is poor and finally, and I think this is our biggest risk to FI oil, this has already dragged on for years, if there is another 2 year delay casued by short term oil prices then we could be in danger of missing the boat as alternative energy sources start to take hold and the general market, geo-political and public sentiment turns further against oil
Good, diverse debate and opinions on here are realy valued, I just wish everyone would be more open about their positions (it's anonymous right?!) and take the time to explain their views (especially the negative ones). For what it's worth and to show my bias...I'm 7 years in , Long 225k at 23.15 average price
All the best to everyone.....long or short