The latest Investing Matters Podcast with Jean Roche, Co-Manager of Schroder UK Mid Cap Investment Trust has just been released. Listen here.
When HMSO can start collecting more rent, as of 2 weeks ago they were only collecting 46%.
The recovery play as so many people keep going on about is over for now IMHO. Its the same with most stocks that have doubled in the last 3/6M, its priced in. Just huge anticipation Now, so we have to wait for the results in the coming months to see how the economy is holding up. Footfall again, doesn't equate to more profits for HMSO, it may help shops pay backdated rent, (as long as those extra feet are spending in the shops.)If they dont spend then its just more wear and tear costs for HMSO.
Things to watch out for are the re-opening up of the French sites as they have been shut for the last 4/6 weeks. Also £/€ price has risen quite a bit from last year, which will have an impact. last year it was below 1.10 for most of the year and now its above 1.15, its only small rise but all these little things have an impact.
I think Its a hold and wait, I expect HMSo to drift between 36-42 for a month, then fingers crossed if things go well we climb higher in a month or so.
I hope people know there was a fatal stabbing in Brent Cross last night about 1830, (google it) as its the London Mayor elections tomorrow, Sadiq Khan seems to manage to keep these stories out of the general press as it unfortunately happens far too often in LDN. It will have an impact at BC but give it 2 weeks and things will be back to 'normal'
GL everyone
Shares can only be shorted if you give your consent. You dont need to put these orders in.
HF's can request the shares they own not to be shorted, so can any Investment banks and PI - if you still have any doubt speak to your broker.
It wouldn't surprise me if Vulupes is buying more.. They sold about 2mil shares in Feb Im not sure if they will buy all them back and 'job' the market but I expect at least another 200K + to go through in the coming days - just a hunch
Judging on the sells a few months back I would expect more buys in the coming days
just bought more on this dip below 430, slow steady rise from here I hope
Actually I didnt work for GS I turned them down but I did work for UBS, Deutsche, JPM and 2 hedge funds. I also worked for 2 Canadian banks trading FX for 10 years working through Black Wednesday in 92 when the £ left the ERM. Not that any that make me better than you Gusto but I do know the Financial markets and how they operate.
I honestly dont think you read what people type, I am long and I am very open about things and not rude like you, who panics that the Sp has gone down 2% when its up 10% in the last week . If I was trying to get the SP down I would be constantly saying sell sell sell ? but in fact I'm telling people to buy dips and Why would I be telling people I dont agree with GS and RBC and I have a price target of 50p + in 3 month ? Surely if it goes down you buy things cheaper thats how you make money ? So on your logic JPM are saying it should be 40p so they can sell it ??
You can sit there with your rose tinted glasses on all day if you like, chuck your dummy out of your pram and show yourself up like the ramping, one sided, no real understanding of whats going on in the financial world view you have. which is what you have been doing.. Just look at the history of your posting on this forum, its open for everyone to see and they can make their own mind up about your credibility . I have nothing to prove or gain just trying to help people make money and discuss a share on a forum.
You posted on April 09 (think) dont be out of this its going to be 50p on 12 April when everything reopens ?? So its ok for you to post this garbage and we cant question you ?
I dont think I need to engage with someone as rude and blinked like yourself Gusto, you have made it quite clear the type of person you are, its embarrassing . You can sit there with your investment , bitting your nails, praying that it will go to moon over night, blaming everyone and everything when it doesn't go your way and I will play the range buy the dips and chip away at making 20-30% a month.
P.S if you look at the print you will see 4mil got sold today, thats not me pushing the Sp lower thats fact in the public domain. were they the 2*2mil that were bought yesterday, Who knows.. ??
Buy the dips, play the range
You only have to look at the announcements - These have been published in the last 3 weeks
GOLDMAN RAISES HAMMERSON PRICE TARGET TO 23 (22) PENCE - 'SELL'. ( This was published on April 27. )
RBC RAISES HAMMERSON PRICE TARGET TO 30 (24) PENCE - 'SECTOR PERFORM'
JP Morgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 40p.
Personally I dont agree with GS or RBC but thats what they published. Shame I cant publish my own 50P price target.
And no Gusto thats not manipulation everyone is entitled to have an opinion, sometimes it won't be the same as yours - you really do think the world is against you. Who is to say that the JPM target is not manipulation ?
Think positive GS can only raise the SP prediction. maybe that will make you a happier person
Indeed to tell people to buy the dips.. not sit on their hands..
The recovery bit of this move is over, that was from 20p-35p now we are in the slow up trend move - every week reaffirming things are getting back to normal. So I expect us to slowly move up over time. My JULY prediction is 50/55p.
Just to remind you a few US banks still have HMSO price target as below 25p. One of them has it at 40p
I will continue to play the uptrend range on the way to my target unless something drastically changes.
Good luck everyone
got some more at 39.78.
buy those dips guys...
Thank you to whomever signed up to Freetrade via the link I sent..
Time to start buying the dip, it will support he SP I got some at 39.98.
Will buy more if it goes lower..
If the link doesn't work, E mail me at my name + yahoo com and I will send anyone a link who would like one..
Lappulldown- Im doing ok with my strategy , I have effectively already sold 1/2 my HMSo at just above 50p. Im still long and I can still buy these back anytime and catch more up movement. I know its not for everyone but it works for me. As I've said before you will be very lucky to get the top and bottom of a share.
Thats the beauty when you pay NO commission for trading.. Here is a link for free trade, you get a free share when you sign up - I got Polar Capital which is up 43% since I got it) follow the link and I think we both get a free share. I think the bigger the 1st investment the higher the value of the free share apparently. The downside is they didnt do the Script Divi so I missed out on that.. but I guess you have to weigh up if you are a sit on your hands person or like to play around in the markets. For me Freetrade works
https://freetrade.app.link/rUgAuzMJadb?_height=800&_width=1280.
Good luck
If I look back over the past year Ive had loads - PREM , SCLP, SMRT (it used to be REDS) they do online office Space design , ESL (now LDG). Im just looking to make 20/30% if you can do that a few times a year its better than the banks. I dont like buying and expecting it to break a level as 9/10 I dont happen as the Stock is pumped/ramped on the forums.
I also Still own VNET, TCAP and BOO. as well
The last 6 months in UK its been IAG, RR., EZY, HMSO, CINE, PETS, These seem to move around quite a bit.
I sold CINE, EZY, IAG. just own HMSO,RR. and PETS now. RR. seems to be 100-115 ish - I like PETS as its a growth company - its online and the increase in pet ownership is with us for 5-10years now.. I also had ARB, due to crypto exposure, ODX but that doesn't play by the rules :-) and NCYT but ive lost money on that.I'm trying to trade it back - its had some wild moves the last month. 360-800 range.
In US my favourite is SNAP for trading and PINS. Also SKILZ these seems to be moving around quite a bit.. However with Biden and his new Tax regime, this could get interesting. I use my freetrade App for trading in UK as commissions are very low, in US I use my Revolut banking App. with lets my trade US and crypto.
Dont feel bad Nic52, Ive been doing the same just in a smaller amounts- We are all here to make money
If the MM want to manipulated it - as some people seem to think- lower then take the opportunity to snap up cheap shares.
Just like if they want to manipulated it higher donate them back. :-)
Spot on, this is what I have been trading the last 3 weeks.
The break out will only be confirmed if we close ABOVE 40p by the end of the week.
The trend is your friend as they say..
Good luck everyone
Shorts can be hedged or covered by OTC options, they aren't reported anywhere. Along with quite a few other financial derivatives
Ultimately the option writer (seller) will need to deliver the shares at some point, but they will delta hedging this on a daily basis..
I know everyone loves to blame the shorters for SP manipulation but it not as clear cut/simple as you as make it out to be.
Wadz, as you wrote . - clearly a strong shopping presence is appealing to the public after covid.
Remember HMSO have cut rents by 30%, regardless of footfall the rents are fixed. time and time again people on here keep pushing footfall but IMHO that doesn't influence revenue. When rents are up for renewal in maybe 6-18months time then yes that expands our cash flow but not in the short term.
as always good luck everyone
Lets hope so Wadz , :-). Ive played this range for 3 weeks now and added an extra 27% return on my core holding. Just sold the ones I bought at 36.10 last week. Im still long just de-risking like I do on these rallies. Lock in the P and Will buy back if it dips..
The UK growth was upgraded today,GDP was expected to be 5% now its expect grow by 6.8% in 2021 so I think that is giving everything a boost.
The trend is still up, the low's are getting higher now we need the highs to get higher as well..
Look to buy if it dips to 37.20 otherwise a slow and steady rise is good
So Part 2 of the Jigsaw has been released today. Rent collection is WAY DOWN than expected. Most people on this forum saying 70/75% of rents collected, when in fact its less than 50% of payable rents. Comparing it to other landowners I think this is poor IMHO. So now you have the actual numbers, and this will stop speculation and give the market some guidance to whats going on and some stability. Also look at the rents due in FY2020 (264Mil) compared to whats achievable in FY21. 227Mil. This is why the SP is where it is. When rents improve, the SP will improve.
Footfall doesn't always equate to more spending in shops, and more spending in shops doesn't always lead to more rent being paid. Markets tend to move on sentiment and forward earnings, HMSO should come good, just not yet with these numbers.
As Always good luck everyone.