Member Info for Stebo

not too hard to spot all the weak-hands who have ****ed the bed lol

the reason why you are so nervous, and panic sell so readily, is that you have no real understanding of the value of kefi, and therefore get blown about like a fart in the wind.

anybody who has taken the time to properly value and understand kefi knows where this is going, and i dare say most of us are fully loaded at this stage!

We are following the same upward trajectory that we have been since the start of Feb. Nobody is buying for a ceremony. People are buying because KEFI is derisking a multi-billion-dollar mine, with a current mcap of £200m!! People are buying because you can still get a million shares for less than £20k, which will likely be a £20k annual dividend in the coming years.

Magic is clearly just trying to plant seeds in buyers heads that there is the potential of a pull-back if a ceremony doesn't happen, and happen this week, which is absolute nonsense.

If anything, the further into Feb we get, the more the anticipation will build around the full and final sign-off ceremony and launch happening, and the more people will scramble at the chance to get in before KEFI completely re-rates.

Yeah, 2p was always a really obvious traders exit point. They'll be doing their best now to encourage a pull-back for a re-entry, maybe as low as 1.85 if they can spread enough FUD!

Chat GTP doesn't think there's much chance of a conflict .....

"So, What Are the “Odds”?

It’s impossible to assign a precise percentage, but based on current dynamics:

Low–Moderate probability (roughly 20–30%) of serious border clashes within the next 1–2 years.

Lower probability (under ~15%) of a full-scale interstate war in the near term — unless triggered by a major miscalculation or a dispute over Red Sea access."

Just out of interest I asked it to compare the headlines with the troubles in Northern Ireland, and Chat GTP thinks that...

"Bottom Line Comparison

Probability of an incident: Higher in Northern Ireland."

Hopefully that provides some context to the headlines

I wouldn't accuse @Robjm66 of being a de-ramper, but he's a lth, and a lot of lth will have created a strategy back in the 0.5p days, when 2p would have looked like a great sell target. Perhaps Robjm66 is just sticking to his strategy.

I would urge LTH though to look at the big picture, especially things like how the PoG has changed in the last number of years, along with the tangible de-risking in KEFI recently.

Every man for himself though, and I wish you all the best if this is your level to get off. Your research over the years has been invaluable and will be missed.

There has been a background of sabre-rattling in Ethiopia for years, no different to many other places around the world, but live in these places moves on. There is a front line, but 20 miles or so behind that it is just headlines in the papers.

I can understand having a concern about it, but it seems like a really awful time to sell out. This week KEFI could finally sign-off on TK, which a full PR ground-breaking ceremony, II's finally piling in etc...... KEFI could go vertical and completely re-rate. Of all the weeks, over the last 5+ years, this is one when I would definitely not want to be sitting on the sidelines!!!

When you say that out loud you realise just how cheap KEFI still is. Look at the resources, the EBIT, the NPV, the NAV..... KEFI is a multi-multi-billion quid company..... with a £200m mcap!!!!

@1871PLUMS .... not that I don't believe you or anything, but it would be great to get some PR or updates from Tulu Kapi from some of the syndicate directly.

That trading pattern is healthy. Let all the battle-weary LTH exit with a few quid, and welcome new stronger-hands buyers onboard.

Although anybody who doesn't think that the sp is going to be higher by next week (potentially much, much higher!), just doesn't see the full picture.

No @Magic-orb or @Stringer01 about today? Or @StephenX ??

I thought they'd have a thread up here by now apologising for the grief they gave me for my 2p prediction that I made on the 11th Feb (when the sp was about 1.6p)??

Supposedly Magic-orb has it screen-shotted and all, just so that he could come back and remind me about it at the end of this week when the sp had slipped back to 1.5p.....

Funny how these trolls are never about on days like today....

Chat GTP is actually quite good at using charting patterns and forecasting.

It's also good because you can withhold what share it is and get a completely non-bias answer.

I plugged in KEFI just to see and this is the most likely outcome:

"Likely Scenario

🟢 Bullish Case (Trend Continuation – Higher Probability Currently)

Holds above 1.82

Breaks 1.95

Short term Targets:

2.00 (psychological)

2.05–2.10 (measured extension)"

@ronvee I think that a blind man on a galloping horse could work out what's going on this weekend involving KEFI, Chancery, Lycopodium, The MoM, and the EG PM.....

Looking forward to Monday morning to find out what they've all been up to! :-)

@StephenX I've had Bonkers filtered for over a year, and yet I still see full topics devoted to me, and every time I unfiltered him I see he's still banging on about me. Last I looked he reckoned that I was some poor guy that he found on linkedin, and he seems to take great pleasure in embarrassing himself over that one.

As an individual, I used to think that he was just misguided, and I committed considerable time to debating with him and trying to help him understand KEFI better. I was an idiot for not realising sooner that he's just here to troll and antagonise. I personally feel pity for him, as he's clearly somewhere on the spectrum and needs help with that (and that's a genuine and sincere comment, not some kind of jibe), but as much as I pity him, he's also a real danger to anybody on here who listens to what he says without understanding his intent.

Anyway, That's about my fill of thinking about Bonkers for this month - back to KEFI.

@StephenX , whether you like it or not, people are influenced by what others say. If somebody was underwater, struggling to remember the reason they invested, then having to endure Bonkers nonsense all day every day would get to a lot of wavering people. Instead of encouraging people to do the research and make wise rational decisions, Bonkers spends all day on here trying to spread fear wrapped up as some kind of logical reasoning.

The only reason he was here was to influence people. He didn't provide help, he just spent all day fishing for somebody to troll, in the hope of being disruptive.

He deserved to be called out on it, and the fact that he is still here disrupting, long after his 'if we ever hit 1p I'm out of here' target is just absolute proof of his nefarious intent.

@StephenX To be fair he is a horrible character, who has trolled this board for years, kicking people who are trying to hold fast to their convictions during many a testing time.

He no doubt has persuaded many LTH to sell, just prior to this huge rise that we're just starting to enjoy, and no doubt cost people life-changing sums of money.

I post on here to try to share what information I have, to help other PIs just like me to do well for themselves, and hope that I can gain from other people who do likewise (like Rob for example). We do care about the collective KEFI PI community, and it's a bit dismissive to say "why on earth would you care".

Perhaps you are selfish and self-serving, but many of the rest of us aren't.

Looks like the boys have left Lycopodiums offices in Cape Town and are on their way to Tulu Kapi to "go through the process of moving the project from concept into construction"

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/chancery-royalty_goldmining-kefiminerals-royaltyinvesting-activity-7428035538999353346-zCAe?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAACO_yA4B6iRg47zDRL_-vcbwsML6uy3ngO4

"Sit on your hands"

That is so so true.

This was the mantra with GGP, and it served those who listened to it very well. Others that obsessed over the sp, got easily spooked, or suffered from fomo were the ones that managed to make a dogs-dinner out of a once a decade opportunity.

KEFI is the next 'once a decade' opportunity - it's on a silver plate for you right now - don't mess this up!!

@PatShare 100%, and everybody needs to have their own strategy and risk-attitude. Can't help but feel like all the high-risk hard stuff has now been done, but the big gains in sp are still to come.

As poor as your investment decision making has been to date, there's also a risk that a decision to sell too early could be the biggest faux-pas yet! I have a 'I hope it works out well for you' sentiment, but more selfishly I actually hope that we're sitting at 10p+ very soon :-D

Maybe a better sentiment would be, 'well done for getting this far in KEFI and doing those hard miles to get here, and I'm glad you've scouped a few quid to cover previous times when it wasn't a winner that you were backing'.

@PatShare .... the bus that stops off at the 5p bus stop is just collecting lucky passengers on it's way to the airport!

Just run the numbers. Unless KEFI gets bought out, the share price is going to be 20p plus within the next few years.

Believe it, or don't believe it. Ridicule me, or interrogate me. It doesn't matter, and it doesn't change what is happening.

Only a few days ago I was getting laughed at for saying that we''ll be at 2p by the end of next week..... yet here we are now and all of a sudden it's looking more likely than not. Today's share price has next to zero relevance on next months share price, yet 99% of people let today's share price dictate their expectations and forecasts.

Get out a calculator and work out where the destination is, and worry less about whether we're turning right or left and the next junction!!

I've been saying it for years. KEFI is 'over-hated', and therein lies the opportunity.