RE: True value reality check3 Jul 2023 12:57
I would suggest using ebitda multiplier. Most UK retail is trading at z11 to x15 of ebitda, but are growing faster than THG/ UK ecom retail.
So if THG does 120m editda this year, SP would be between 101 and 140 - this does not assume debt which is more than 500m (inc leases) which would typically be deducted.
If THG can achieve 200m in 2024, which is needed to be FCF positive, and assuming no more dilution (unlikely), then SP goes to 170 to 230p (again no debt deducted)