RE: No deal12 Dec 2020 13:40
Option - really not sure why you believe the company has been in "decline for years"? The fact that you bought at the very upper end of the price scale for this stock may be influencing your opinion I guess, I have made this mistake in the past as well and it is tough to see the price drop. The reality is the in Jan 2001 the price was £1.96 and in Jan 2020 the price was £1.74, if you track the stock over this 20 year period you can make a fair assumption at the average price at between £1.40 - £1.80 in my opinion. Yes of course it has been above this and indeed below, but it is fair to say that between £1.40-£1.80 has been a realistically achievable target over the last 20 years or at any given point throughout a year. Looking at that my buy in price would always have been £1.20 or below to allow the minimum profit return realistically achievable, if I was to make more then great, but I would at least be fairly confident I could make 20% as a minimum. The drop from £1.74 in Jan of this year is entirely down to two factors Brexit uncertainty and the pandemic, both of these factors will impact the potential immediate and mid-term recovery, but a target of between £1.20 - £1.50 is perfectly reasonable by March to June next year and potentially £2 looking further down the line. I don't see the highs of £2.30 and beyond being achieved anytime soon, but those levels were always in the top 10-20% range for this stock anyway, so not something I would ever budget for realistically happening - more a nice surprise than a realistic target.
I don't see this as a stock in decline, I see this as a stock that has been affected by the same factors most other stocks have been subject to over the last year. Do research, set realistic targets and get out when you reach them, that's how I try to invest.
I wish you the best and do hope you can average to a place where you can, as a minimum, break even, but I have to disagree with your view that the stock is in decline.
Good luck all