RE: Payments to vendors16 Feb 2021 19:00
Here is the link to said PEA;
https://cornishmetals.com/site/assets/files/4962/2017-03-31-scrofty-pea-c84ol6.pdf
Several points;
- The sensitivity analysis is on page 32 of the PDF (P22 of the PEA), this shows that increasing the tin price from $10/pound to $11/pound increases the IRR from 23% to 30%
Here's a link to an FT article (https://www.ft.com/content/40577a9b-d4d9-4cdd-8d08-43ce1c132406) from yesterday about the tin buying frenzy, which includes a quote from our CEO;
"Given the time it takes to get a permit for and dig a new mine, Alphamin’s Smith says the near-term supply gap can only come from expansion or revival of existing mines. A $25,000-per-tonne price is needed to make this economic, he estimates.
“The world is not producing enough tin,” added Richard Williams, chief executive of Cornish Metals, a tin and copper miner set to list on London’s junior stock market, Aim. “There is a very thin pipeline of new projects.”
For those unfamilar with the conversion, there are 2000 pounds in a tonne, so $25000/tonne = $12.50/pound
At $12.50/pound the IRR would be 40%+ with an NPV of around $270m. Quite a difference from those figures you quoted @Panda1.
Also, an IRR of over 30% is usually considered very good. Show me an example of an IRR of 100% and I'll invest tomorrow.
Furthermore;
-the PEA used a copper price of $2.65/pound, the current price is >$3.80/pound, so the IRR would be even higher...
-the PEA used a zinc price of $0.90/pound, the current price is $1.40/pound, so the IRR would be even higher still
Finally, page 37 of the admission document contains the following quote;
"Since early 2020, the South Crofty Project is no longer the principal focus of Cornish Metals’ activities and
the project has been placed on care and maintenance pending an uplift in tin prices and a change in market
sentiment towards the project."
I'm guessing that decision will be under discussion as we speak with tin prices approaching the magic $25k mark...
So despite the negativity of some on here, this appears to be a well timed & nicely diversified play on several vital metals that will be in high demand over the coming decade. And for once it's not in a dodgy jurisdiction where a change of regime could jeopardise everything in a heartbeat.