RE: Rns due12 Dec 2017 11:29
OldGasBag, I did some calculations recently and while your talk of £1 per share sounds outlandish at first (circa 8 times the current price and therefore 8 time the current market cap), it might not be all that ridiculous after all. This is what I posted some time back based on information coming from RNS's MAFL had issued previously and gives some sense of what they think the resource might be worth:
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Two things Hardy78, while it is clear MAFL are sitting on a substantial resource (albeit in the Indicated and Inferred categories which mean economic viability of the resource has not yet been established);
a) how have you come to the $1.5B figure?
b) how much is the resource worth to MAFL?
Regarding b), MAFL's 29/06 'Final Results for the Year to 31 December 2016' RNS can give us some idea of what it might be worth to them;
https://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=5575664
"The LS-1 resource is 4.5Mt of mineralization with a zinc equivalent grade of 8.1% That equates to 297,000 tonnes of zinc equivalent metal. The LS-1 resource is currently also being drilled with the intention of expanding the resource mineralization to between 8.0Mt and 10.0Mt. TH Crestgate believes that, if successful, the resource expansion should be at similar grades although at this stage there can be no guarantee that the zinc can be economically extracted.
However, in 2016, transactions of individual zinc rich mining projects occurred at a mean valuation of US$75.74 per tonne of zinc equivalent metal, while the median value is US$10.83 p/t of zinc equivalent metal. To look at it another way, a group of 31 junior mining companies with zinc-rich resources, comparable to Lagoa Salgada, currently trade at a mean valuation of US$50.21 p/t of zinc equivalent metal, while the median value is US$14.78 p/t of zinc equivalent metal."
If we take the mean value of $75.74 p/t of zinc-equivalent that comparable zinc-rich resources have been transacted at, for a resource of 297,000 tonnes of zinc-equivalent we get the following;
297,000t Zn-eq x $75.74 = $22,494,780 (not including any costs) - yes the Zinc and price of the other metals involved is higher than it was during 2016.
49% of this figure is $11,022,442 (again not including any costs).
Hopefully the resource upgrade will be very substantial so any sale of the resource can achieve this number or better.
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My figure of $11,022,442 only takes in to account the current JORC resource, and also doesn't account for increases in the prices of zinc/lead etc etc (no valuation at all attributed to the indium or selenium either). It simply draws upon figures MAFL quote for sales during 2016 of 'similar' zinc rich ore deposits. So doubling the resource size, taking in to account increased metal prices you c