Much further to go - heading for the 600s27 Feb 2026 15:42
SEPL will keep on grinding upwards as it remains deeply undervalued for what it is and I will tell you why. I pinch myself when looking at the EV/EBITDA multiple, which remains at its ten year average - i.e. there has been no re-rating at all despite SEPL being a totally different business to what it was four years ago. Since four years ago, it is now a much bigger business with the integration of SEPNU, with greater scope for long term growth (oil and gas), but also since four years ago 1. Governance structures are much improved and indeed have been tested hard, 2. Operational risk frameworks are much improved (ISO standards), 3. the Amukpe-Escravos Pipeline massively lowers risk in evacuation of their onshore production, 4. ANOH is up and running, 5. capital returns to shareholders are road-mapped and growing consistently, and 6. the government of Nigeria is at last properly behind growth of the industry. In all respects, this is a much much better as well as less risky investment proposition. The valuation being at its ten year average is absurd and can not endure. Institutional investors are taking time to understand this, as they are only now coming round to looking at SEPL, but as they do they will gradually get behind it. It will take time, but it is happening. The share price has a long way to reprice. The icing on the cake will be a return of oil to >$80 or $90, which in my view is likely as in relative terms it is very cheap now to all other commodities.