RE: Call overdone, £2.90 target…..21 Aug 2024 14:28
It's actually very straightforward for BT to be stating the rise in profits will come from cost reductions. This is because BT spent £4.9bn in FYE 2024 on it's FTTP & 5G installations, which are now winding downwards with each passing year (Capex peaked in terms of £ in FYE 2022 at £5.28bn)... so we're talking monster volumes of cash all having been spent on investment, which going forwards is now continuing to fall with each year.
Meanwhile, for areas where all this new capacity has been installed BT will see continued forward growth of sales volumes. That's because installing new capacity does not mean customers all go out and immediately buy up 100% of the newly available capacity. That process takes time i.e. sales lag behind the initial investments but... the sales pick up in pace with each passing month that goes by.
Fast forward another decade or two and 6G emerges plus other new tech, so it's all a bit of a cycle. Ultimately though BT has the biggest network, the best coverage, it's reliable and offers relatively reasonable prices considering the quality.