RE: RNS Q4 and full year4 Feb 2021 07:48
Much to digest but you have to be impressed by what the business has delivered during a global pandemic.
Europe and the US are going to find that supplies are tighter and tighter as we come out of Covid. 21% now going to the Chinese, along with internal company sales means a lot less for the rest of the world. Which means more pricing pressure to come and evidence of real demand for secure supply for the VRFB industry.
Solid increase in production for last year and the year ahead. Being so close to guidance is remarkable in this climate.
Interesting note of leasing and Pivot Power - more to come: 'continue to support and collaborate with global VRFB manufacturers as per Bushveld Energy's VRFB OEM partnership strategy. This includes scale up of the vanadium electrolyte rental product with new contracts, comprising the rental contract with Pivot Power, part of EDF Renewables.'
Costa rising slightly due to electricity costs and the 1% slip in guidance enhances the fundamentals of the Vametco and Vanchem self-generation projects and is again reinforcing that Eskom needs to move to increase the threshold for self-generation.
Cash position is relatively good, albeit topped up by recent funding. Significant Capex on Vanchem is great news, it means that we are pushing on with works. Technical studies associated with the Vametco Phase III PFS are progressing and are expected to conclude during H1 2021. This will see more iterative increases in production than at Vanchem if the button is pushed, but looks like they are keen to crack on. Which means they see the demand (notes that it has ramped up in H2). Kiln 3 is due to be commissioned in H2 with the full benefits arriving to deliver the production upgrade in 2022. Costs therefore increase slightly this year at Vanchem but looks like much work being done to optimise throughout at to offset this where possible.
Vametco obviously suffered from the extraordinary rains in Q4 a little but it simply meant being less than 1% short of overall guidance so not the end of the world albeit a problem that must have frustrated at the time and hit q4 production a little.
These are the results of a business committing to growth, being bold as we turn upwards in the supercycle and working very hard to make the impact of Covid neglible. They should be commended. What a year it must have been on the ground to achieve what they have.