RE: A Bushveld Perspective9 Feb 2021 15:05
This analysis highlights two things for me.
1. How robust this entry point is and how, for those with an investors mindset, Bushveld potentially offers a phenomenal ROI from this point onwards. Risk/reward is great from this MC/SP with the structural deficit adding real confidence to current pricing.
2. How important it is for Bushveld to illuminate their vertically integrated and VRFB ('The Great Vanadium Price Hedge') stories. This includes but is not limited to clarifying the role of Enerox & the scope of partnerships, tenders coming over the line, refining market positioning, larger leasing deals, VIP, progress on ELIDZ, customers and new projects, and they all need to be delivered with high quality, regular MarComms that explain clearly what these mean for new investors who haven't done years of research.
If Bushveld get that right the win is leveraging the behemoth of sentiment waiting to back green energy transition, supercycle and economic rebuilding stories through 2021 building the share price and register steadily, punctuating the year with excitement, all in readiness for 2022 and a major attempt at that £1 valuation.
This is critical because AIM is a sentiment driven market, attention spans are short and we are up against some very bright rainbows at present. This means not just assuming investors will stay interested whilst the vanadium prices make their moves, but pro-actively try to bring more onboard by capitalising on the times when we have a lot of eyes on us, converting buyers into investors and also getting some big-hitting new II's interested. A slow but great story is arguably at odds with how AIM actually works so striking a balance here is critical.
Two final points on this - I remember the USTDA grant and how we didn't RNS that because we were a $400m company. Let's please never be that complacent again whatever size we are. Personally it still bothers me to this day how happy we were not to promote that.
2. There was a quote from the Indaba that has stuck in mind - that Fortune 'could become the Elon Musk of Africa.' Now we all know Fortune is a very different character - but whether you like him or not, what Musk has achieved with Tesla for their investors is huge. Fortune has a chance to have a truly impactful legacy that will put SA in the spotlight with VRFB, help to finally fix the issue of energy supply in Africa and deliver epic returns for investors.
Him taking that chance personally is a big part of us moving from being a company that always scrapes the bottom end of its potential valuation to one that is seen as a market leader and agent of change. Why should we always have to settle for the absolute bare minimum of what we should be valued at? Tesla investors aren't. Sometimes I feel we spend so long dissecting the base case (which BBN does so well and thank you to him) that sometimes it is arguably to the detriment of showcasing the possible upside should fair winds really get be