Monday23 Sep 2019 14:17
1. “If verbier result was as expected it would trade between £5-£8”
What even is that? Where have you just plucked that figure from?
2. Personally I think your value of $15 pb for oil in the ground is far to generous especially in these questionable times in o&g , for a full carried sum I would say $10 pb is maximum.
As for prospective, I wouldn’t add any value to that and neither would any buyer.
$2 per barrel, yes that’s about the mark, that is based on the current situation,( no partner and no funding) and around 70mmbo, I realise this reserves figure would mean equinor were on board but doesn’t mean they will contribute much further to capex.
Obviously if a farm in deal announces a free carry then its then worth $10 pb but at the expense of reduced reserves which I agree with you,around 22mmbo imo would be about right.
Which brings me back to 10x 22 $220 around £200
I’m in at £1.80 so at nearly 400% profit i won’t be waiting around for your idea of fair “value” as they are too optimistic for me.
I’m sure many of you are in cheaper than myself so that is your prerogative to sell when you feel is fair value.