CIPA by end Q4 2025? Why?24 Sep 2025 13:31
SolGold has ticked off the prerequisites, the financing deal is designed to reward that timing, and the company has said more than once that the end of Q4 is when it expects it to happen.
First, the Franco Nevada and Osisko stream agreed in July 2024 ties the third 33.3 million dollar tranche to submission of all final permit applications for Cascabel and the TSF. The company has said this would be by the end of Q4 2025.
Second, the key steps that needed to be done before then have now been achieved. The investment protection agreement was signed in April 2025, the project execution plan was published in July 2025, and the second tranche of funding was received once technical and permitting milestones were met.
Third, the RNS announcements through 2025 all show the staged approach with TAM as the starter pit and the TSF on site. The work programs are clearly leading towards filing the complete package rather than doing more early stage studies.
Fourth, the financing structure is staged in a way that makes it important to keep on schedule. If the CIPA is not filed in Q4 the company would risk pressure on liquidity, so there is every incentive to file on time.
Finally, the most recent presentation backed up this timetable. It set out TAM as the starter pit, an on concession TSF, and pointed to permitting and the CIPA as the next catalysts. This is consistent with submitting the full ESIA package in Q4 to unlock the third tranche.
It is worth remembering that the requirement is submission of the final applications, not approvals. If filing slips past December then the tranche would likely slip too.
President Noboa has made clear that he wants to deliver new revenues and jobs from responsible mining. His political needs are to stabilise the economy, show foreign investors that Ecuador is open for business, and build fiscal credibility. Advancing Cascabel is one of the clearest ways to do that. It is in his interest to see SolGold succeed quickly, because it demonstrates that Ecuador can host world class mines under a modern framework.