Member Info for ratcliffewriter

What's quite disturbing is to see entries by someone who is sufficiently obsessed as to dig up and repost entries by a different poster from some three and a half years ago. Do you have posts of your own from just before any or all of the previous placings in VAL telling everyone how a) they won't happen, b) how well the company is run, and c) how a massive rerate is imminent? Followed by post-placing posts telling everyone how the placing was actually a really good thing because it was fully subscribed and is necessary to put the company in a stronger position to stave off a low ball offer during the advanced negotiations which will result in a massive rerate any day now...

Have a look back - I'm sure you'll find plenty. Then lay them against a graph of the share price.....

Well. that's the bonuses covered - they have been working VERY hard this year after all.

Just the rest of the running costs to get sorted in the next few weeks I suppose.

Obviously none of the recent stuff has shown on the Transylvania exchange.

WTP - don't go for the jugular, that's his job. First sign of being shown up and he's got the lid shut and saying nothing.

The place to be? Depends what you want - a loss to offset gains elsewhere? An abject lesson in why ramper groups never provide factual backup? A case study in Groundhog Day broken promises and hints? Or maybe a sweepstake to guess the date and price of the next placing.

Incidentally Uncanny, I don't think the mention of the late John Gilchrist is 'a new low' - it's a very sad event that many would do well to heed. A man who got carried away with jam (or maybe gold) tomorrow, success imminent, huge breakthrough just around the corner, and sunk progressively more and more into VAL despite loads of warnings which were obvious had he read them, read the RNSs and been a little more objective. His tragic tale is an example of not listening to both sides, and either shoving fingers in ears or filtering out those who the cheerleaders say to ignore.

Don't worry, I'm quite prepared to see an RNS fairly soon which will have significant implications for the future of the company...

Pass me some more popcorn. We shall see.

Neither bitter nor agitated at all dear Uncanny. After all, having been unconvinced by previous exhortations to buy here, I'm not the one approaching a placing cliff on a six figure sum, nor in the event of a further consolidation would I be looking at a JohnGilchrist-size loss, and we know what happened there by all accounts.

I'll just watch and wait, and comment as I see fit - you don't mind people posting here that don't toe your line do you?

I think you've missed my point financially, but certainly it would be good to know money was going into a company with even a half decent chance of making such medical advances. But so far that's not this one. You'd probably have advanced science more with a tax deductible donation to CRUK.

I can't see that a portfolio could be 'balanced' if your transactions are not only notifiable but also you're stuck in the share because to sell your holdings would trash the company.

If I owned 6.1 percent of the company I'd probably not sleep at night seeing g a placing looming. No wonder you're keen to talk this up at every turn and give it 'fingers in ears la la la' when the glaring risks and downsides are mentioned.

Last 30 days - Porky 10 posts, Uncanny 20 posts.

Never mind talking to pharma companies, would it be an idea to approach Prof Alice Roberts off 'Digging for Britain', given how long it has been since anything moved on 201 and a lot of the other 'products'?

I would imagine the placing will be on the lines of 'I've done the rounds, it's all very positive, but unfortunately we need to do this and then go full steam ahead to deliver on the promising discussions and contacts made in the warm early autumn California sun.'

This will be greeted with comments of 'well done, pile in' from the usual suspects. That's the traditional pattern anyway.

Well you're certainly not the first poster here to be effectively hoodwinked by some 'nudge nudge wink wink' high-up in an AIM company who they thought was a close friend or at least a trusted source - I'm not vindictive but if ever you needed a lesson in reading the RNSs and not being influenced by anything that's 'off the record', yours and the other one some will remember are prime examples. You're not alone either - there is a plethora of posters who will comment on other shares and sneer 'some mugs lost a lot on that but I not me, I was clever enough to avoid it/see through it/sell at the peak' - yet I think anecdotally 80 or 90 percent of gambler on AIM lose money. Funny how nobody admits to it! I got properly hoodwinked by certain individuals a good few years ago - smiling assassins the lot of them. Hence my cynicism, my urging to anyone to research on concrete evidence not hearsay and rumour, and hence also the reason why I won't predict a price or divulge how many (if any!) shares I own and in which companies. I don't gloat at losses, but I do have a dislike of organised (or chaotic) share pushers.

I think it is a matter of (as ever) doing one's own research and deciding from there. Over the years there were many predictions based on potential developments, many arguably plausible but none of which have yet produced financial rewards. However the science does seem to be evolving in a solid way, and (imo) the company has managed its funds as if looking to a long-term future, as best a small AIM bio can at any rate. Maybe sit back, don't put in more than you can afford to lose, have it as part of a balanced portfolio, then just wait. The problem was a few years ago that there would be predictions of massive returns which were met with some very organised trashing efforts by people who (literally) make a living out of price manipulation. The fact that they made such determined efforts to hit the price so hard makes me reasonably sure they would expect it to bounce back, but I don't think many suspected we'd still be around 10p in 2025. Then again, look at the science, the trial expansions, the CVLP link and such like. Don't forget that Vulpes and Redmile have sunk significant sums into this after a LOT of research and diligence. That's the sort of thing that gets forgotten. I'm pretty optimistic, but I've never made a prediction as to what the share price might become - never a good idea to feed the animals. Don't forget, if the bandied-about figure of 8 quid a share were to be exceeded, the same people who poured scorn on it as over optimistic would berate its proponent as having been too stingy, and if it went to 6 quid a pop they'd jeer at 8 for being long-discredited but still pocket a massive profit. Equally if the company went bust they'd crow at having been 'right all along.' I remember your quite ferocious enthusiasm for Valirx Dracula - a little more looking at the science and a little less of being carried away with the tide might have saved you a few quid I suspect.

Be rational and DYOR then go and read a long book, possibly several times, is probably going to be the least stressful way to see how this develops.

What betting that when the placing hits, the rampers will use the same line as in previous dilutions - 'it's a good move because it gives independence in the next few months just until the big deal gets finalised. It's actually a shrewd move. Well done the management.'

This is what gets posted after months of denying a placing will ever occur.

Any alternative predictions? All welcome.

I read Paternostpauper's description and among all the flowery description I couldn't help thinking that even if what he said was true, he hasn't mentioned fuel for his wonderful car. It won't run without fuel. Money is fuel in this case - and there is no sign of a delivery. Frankly I thought the description of the company efforts wasn't too plausible either - a bit like that episode of The Simpsons when Homer is given charge of designing a new car, or how the management of British Leyland were when they launched the Marina.

Maybe call a priest for the last rites, unless the company can pull off yet another placing?