Some facts26 Nov 2018 17:47
Firstly todays fall
If you look at oil prices since last week they have fallen quite sharply, its quite normal then for small oil companies to shadow that drop, It is assumed that it will make profit margins less and of course shorters will short oil companies when a drop in oil prices. It often effects majors less but can also effect their share price if extended periods as it again affects profits.
Over the next few days fundamentals will be looked at with individual companies and price adjusted accordingly with news.
Todays news is positive, but those sat on the wall or intent on shorting will take the view and question funding it. Now funding this could be completely by another company, or we may have funds to go alone or do our share available.
The careful punters will wait until they are sure that no placing will take place. Personally i do not think we need a placing, but some will be cautious.
Testing, we were told loud and clear that testing was continuing at the last meeting. They were testing using different chokes etc.
Now until that is complete, you do not have a stable consistent flow rate to report.
It seems that someone else is orchestrating the testing and in doing so gaining valuable data.
So if a Major sat on side lines was telling us to do this and then do that, which gives better reservoir data, it could very well be part of NDA. The methods used may be unique to that major to enable best understanding, they may wish that the testing formula remains secret.
So really two very good reasons why we may not have had EWT.
Does anyone remember what Outrider were trying to take the company over for a few years back, i am sure a price was made public and it was pretty good from where we are now. We also have BHGE who want to be involved and i would suggest the EWT is continuing on the request / demands of the major who is sat on sidelines.
Before we see value here everything will be put in place, including the removal of a few inpatient shareholders. Mean while we had hope and Outrider again trying to gain control of FRR.
I keep saying it, YOU DO NOT FIGHT OVER AN EMPTY BOX.
The tree will be shaken many times yet, by Mm's, shorters and the big money guys, the weak will drop and the strong will remain firm. Zaza is almost aligned equally with us, i say almost because where these trying times stir up insecurity for some, he does have the info that keeps him more comfortable long term over the SP/ Mcap.
I would suggest following Zaza and that knowledge as he can not tell us directly, even thou as with EWT, the clues were given, when he said excited and better than they hoped for.
Good luck all and stay long and strong
IMHO