Member Info for pv72

Hi roth

One more thing you could try is to remove the telegram app and reinstall it. And then throw in a computer restart/reboot for good measure. That has helped me out in the past with other misfiring apps.

Best of luck

Hi roth

Being of a certain age myself, I would suggest the old 'daddy pig' method.

First try rebooting both your computer and your phone.

If that doesnt work, then i would double check what you are typing in for your phone number. Make sure it starts with a +44 if you are in uk and then try your number either with a 0 to start or without.

If that doesnt work, then someone much younger than me needs to chip in.

It is worth joining imo. Very balanced discussion regardless of what our FUD friends think over here. A pleasant cordial experience.

​hi all

I was a bit bored and chuckled at one or 2 posts this morning for their sheer nonsense.

So i thought i would do some digging. Here is what i have deduced with a little help from AI, and thought id share it.

Looking at the verified trade logs from today, and a certain posters own activity, there is a glaring inconsistency between the "I'm out" victory lap and the actual tape.

​

The post was "Out at 4.35. Lovely profit." Timed at 859am.

​The LSE trade data shows that at exactly 09:15 AM, the price hit a sudden low of 3.90p on a wave of selling. If they truly sold at 4.35p at the open, they would have been selling into the only "Buy" pocket of the morning.

Just 18 minutes later (09:17 AM), they were back on the board posting about a "leak" and calling the Level 2 (L2) "hideous" and "ugly."

​

Investors who have truly banked a "lovely profit" and exited a position typically don't spend the next hour frantically refreshing the L2 and posting bearish warnings. They go play golf or go sit in the sunshine sipping something nice. Their continued obsession with the "red" on the screen suggests they are either still holding and trying to "talk it down" to buy back cheaper, or they are short and need the price to stay below 4p.

​Posting history shows that they have been a vocal bear for a very long time, repeatedly calling it a "duster."

​If they were short (betting on a drop) during the climb to 4.50p yesterday, they werent in profit— they were underwater.

​Claiming an exit at 4.35p today looks like an attempt to save face after yesterday’s 12% breakout. They are essentially trying to "exit the narrative" before the SC-3 and HoA news makes their "duster" theory look even more isolated.

​

​To my mind, they are currently in "Damage Control" mode.

​The $25M back-costs are the one thing they cannot explain away. In their posts today, they completely ignored the fact that 8.9 million shares have traded already this morning, with the price stabilizing above 4p. In the past, this would have simply crashed back to the 3.5p range.

​A "duster" doesn't see 9 million shares bought by noon on a Thursday. That is the sound of institutional accumulation "eating" their (and other retail) sells. Dont believe this? Then take a look into what the normal market size is for PRD. These volumes traded are much bigger! Something may well be stirring.

I have the pop corn out. Next few weeks will be very interesting.

Dyor and glagh!

​

Talk about sweating the small stuff. What was sc3 targeting again??? Absolutely pointless FUD debate.

Just for balance, im not convinced we will get any HoA signing news all that soon.

If i was PG, id be going gung ho for the triple whammy RNS: HoA signed, sc3 spud and firmed up timeline for the new mou6, all at once. That will take us to mid to late june earliest for any news.

Wouldnt that be worth the wait? Buckle up! 🤣🤣🤣

TAQA or other similar players are equally likely than ONYHM.

I personally think a partial sale or carry deal is more likely than a full sale right now. But its highly speculative and literally anything can happen. I guess clues are emeging from the bulk share trades. TR1s may shed more ligjt in time....

This is the biggest bullish signal for me right now. I suspect that we are witnessing a capital rotation event where mid tier energy companies and/or sovereign funds and/or HNWI are all taking positions. This has further to go over the next couple of weeks imo.

Its all about mid June for me. Any big divestment/farm out news will come out publically then IMHO. All in one big hit with ITR and spud news.

In the interim, im hopeful that the SP will reach high single digits/low teens by then.

Obviously, the geopolitical picture could completely mess this up. So this isnt for the faint of heart or thin of wallet. High risks remain.

DYOR and GLAGH

I have also had a small top up. Promised myself i would not ages ago. But couldnt resist a certain symmetry where this buy exactly matched my initial dabble nearly 6 yrs ago. This is definitely now it. What will be, will be.

GLAGH

PER of 20 to 22

Really???

I wish....!!!

🤣🤣🤣🤣

@porters1

please, stop taking the ****! 😂

genuinely, get yourself some suitably qualified help.

i'm afraid i cannot help you as you have not shown any semblence of sincerity or humility in your 1000+ posts of utter nonsense.

glagh

Porters1

OMG!!!

Please stop embarrassing yourself! Please re-read tmhs original response to you.

February's number was slightly lower than January's number because there are only 28 days in Feb and not 31.

If you cant see that, then i fear nobody here can help you.

Thank you and good evening

You have to love our FUD friends.

When I offered them an opportunity to share their success stories on here some weeks ago, they declined to respond.

Now they're out looking for opportunities to criticise others by trawling their post histories in other shares.

Laughable yet tragic in equal measure.

Good luck finding holes in my post history. I've done alright out of SSE and BEZ in recent months. GGP absolutely flying as well. PRD will also come good in time, all IMHO.

GLA LTH

Agreed. Well written piece by Mr A.

I think we can all clearly see how inflation could rip through US and its effect on USD.

What I'm not 100% clear on is the effect on GBP and EUR. I think inflation is inevitable this side of the Atlantic given our macroeconomic situation. The question is one of timing in my view.

Do we have more time than the US or not?

Views welcome

We are primary listed on ASX. That means AIM is secondary listing. I think FTSE250 listing can't happen on that basis, but happy to be corrected!

I concur with you MR

20p is eminently achievable with more production days than we've assumed or a higher oil price (currently $65 per barrel) or a higher PER (say 20).

Let our FUD friends dissect and attempt to sow FUD on the NABI element, which is only a small proportion of the overall TT valuation. Talk about sweating the small stuff.....if SC3 comes in, they'll be making c£8 to 15m/yr. That'll fund loads of holes in guercif and beyond! Failing that we may even get regular small divis....lots of options, which is welcomed by all GLTH including me.

GLA

Great post MR

I like to value these things conservatively and try not to get too carried away but here are some simple numbers....

Assuming:

1. NABI get to 1000bopd, and we get only 15%

2. SC3 only gets 500bopd

3. We produce oil only for 300 days pa to allow for extended outages

4. Price per barrel at only $55 usd

5. PER at 10

6. $1.3=£1

650x300x55x10÷1.3 gives us £82.5m market cap which gives us a rock bottom c9.7p per share in a moderate success case. Not to be sniffed at if you ask me. Risk/reward works for me on that basis.

GLA

Agreed jamesp21

I'm in this for the long haul, so picked up some more at 704.

Time will tell if I timed it right or not.

GLA

Good post tmh

The price has held relatively well so far in comparison to previous raises.

I'm not convinced all the placing shares will actually get churned. The smart money would be to fwd sell a chunk to cover costs and keep some back for a free ride. AIMHO But who knows? we watch and wait til March/April.....

GLA LTH

Hi speedy

You talking A$ or US$ with your predictions?

If former, then not beyond realms of possibility albeit a stretch imho. If latter, then that is a 'courageous' call in 'yes, minister' speak! A lovely dream nonetheless!!

GLA

Well done WOBF

This is just about the only readable thread today, as I see our FUD friends are enjoying a day in the sun and spouting some utter rubbish in the process.

My take is somewhat positive. They've raised funds for a go it alone big hole in TT. If it hits, then that will in effect be a company maker.

There appears to be no change to plans for guercif. We're 3 months in to their 6 month divestment or farm out plan. I've always maintained that I'm here until they drill a few more holes there and nothing has changed for me.

I'm relatively relaxed with the share count rising the amount it has. Risk reward still works for me if they used all their allowed 500m float for this year. The fact that they only used a little over a quarter of it is also positive.

Let's see where we are March/April time and see who has the broadest grin then.

Risks still remain and DYOR

GLA

Take pity on our FUD friends.

The SP has gone up 47% in the last month.

Their efforts are proving pointless and futile lately.

There's more to this story yet to unfold. I'm confident but risks still remain.

Going to be v interesting to watch.

DYOR and GLA