RE: Dead as a dodo or is there still hope?27 Nov 2020 23:10
For years, I (and most others here) have said that this is no more than a glorified bet, so in that context, it's not as dead as the dodo yet, but just like the dodo, it isn't flying either!
No one has a clue whether RKH is going to get an award and if it does, what it might be and when it'll be announced, except that with every day that passes, that's a day nearer to knowing the answer.
Nigoil, on ADVFN, has been promising great news "tomorrow" for as long as I can remember. He shouts at anyone who dares to challenge/disagree, which tells you how much he knows, because his shouting rants and incorrect forecasts amount to virtually his total output and we're still waiting.
You've got to think for yourself and weigh-up the FACTS that are known, then reach your conclusion.
If you follow that process thoroughly and honestly, your opinion will be as good as anyone else's and considerably better than the rubbish posted by Nigoil, Gozzie, Ralph, Kurgan etc.
I don't believe the lawyers would have given so much of their time and energy over such a long period, free-of-charge, if they didn't believe there's a reasonable chance of success, from which they then stand to gain a lot.
Lots of unexpected banana skins have added to the uncertainty, but my personal opinion is that if there are no more significant bananas, COVID has probably been good for RKH, there could well be some sort of OM award, which would enough to fund RKH up to FID, Chrysaor will probably enable SL to go ahead sooner than with PMO on their own, and what happens to the rest of the FI region after that will depend on a load of other factors that are not clear/certain right now (e.g. economic recovery from COVID, PoO, the demise of oil, etc.).