Member Info for NicetoMichu

I'm a pretty seasoned AIM - commodities stocks especially - campaigner .. and have seen a lot of s/p awfulness in my time playing the AIM game. Yet this at approx. 1.5 p here around now, is still a pretty extraordinary sight for me.

With Fairbride 'ard progressing reasonably now, I'm gutted by this latest punchy retrace .. and even if plenty more millions are spent down the Bush over the next 12 + months..and things, in the round, go poorly - they may go decently or well of course - there will be some sort of sell on value of 10- 20m usd, worst case there imho.. This alongside Xtr's Africa Gold revenue growing out to healty ongoing numbers, makes a market cap of 15m ish gbp now ish feel very wrong here to me.... But it is what it is, sadly .. and -likely- with fewer and fewer participating on AIM as a rule these years .. - financial harikari feel about playing this game in the eyes of more and more/many- it's can often generally be harder and harder to shake off depressed AIM s/p's, alas.

Still, time can of course still be a healer here and more widely .. and the weather is - slowly - turning summery.. so looking at a p/f of red feels less and less appealing by the day to me.... and instead getting out and about more, more appealing by the day !

As he notes CB is most likely to add value in Winter, I feel - semi - comfortable in saying Happy Christmas -seriously - in advance to Kwaduko !

I was never a Corporate Baker Howzap...In truth I'm not even sure which Corporations might employ their own bakers .. ...But if you were a baker for Premier Foods for eg then I guess that would make you a Corporate Baker?!

(It was Investment, not Corporate +++ker btw)

PS: As well as Drew and Zap...maybe we're also at +itchu, with a capital B !

So if we're at 'Drew' and 'Zap'.. are we also at 'Ker'.. as in +++Ker? (MBaker)

I like this board, especially for its balance... and I'm all for SCE2AUX and other similar questioning posters posting regularly here.

A blind man could see that Paradox roll out has been far slower and more problematical tha CH originally envisaged.. and alas nobody could confidently say that it will be smoothly on from here forward and be taken very seriously be me, for one.... and if history is anything to go by it won't be...etc.. but I'm still holding here.. albeit with a decently downsized bet for a few months now.. and I'd probably add some - but not a lot - back in 3's p , if it goes there... but fine by me if it doesn't go there.. as plenty buying in 6's and 7's are suffering enough already here, alas

Generally, I still think there's a decent towards good chance of this being a winner in the medium term.. but there's much chance involved in this game.. so place your BETS as you see fit... etc..

IMHO & DYOR

Important WILD party start with Feather, Sir.. to stop gusher in pant from some.... later, party go to without feather stage.... and feather now available to tidy up any gusher in pant mess, Sir !

I do still look in here occassionally.. and while I intend keeping my word on posting infrequently here, as I still maintain a small - now smaller again as I sold another tranche over 6 p in the recent rally here - holding here I see posting occassionally more than not at all as the way for me to go:

In response to Ibarlow, my guess is plenty of HMI target clients will take mainsteam branded fertilizer on the cheap this year instead of HMI's KPI offering, but then flip back to KPI again next year... therefore, I guess that HMI will come nowhere near hitting their 200kt invoiced sales target this year.. and the s/p will get to low 4's p or somewhat into 3's p even later this year.. and I'd add some back then, while bringing down my average price significantly in that process..

Towards balance, the market cap seems very low already now versus the assets and future potential, in fairness.. so pretty close to no chance of this going into the 2's p here, I'd guess

And great if I'm wrong on my guesses here and this goes back up from here instead of down.. as it would be nice to see loyal long term holders do well on AIM, for a change

I gave that an immediate tick up, Richard... you rascal

Surpised you found a sexual angle in that post badprophet :-)
I have no idea what Owl's sexual preferences are .. apart from - aptly - 'with feather, sir' .... and good for him any/every which ways he hoots...

If all those with half or three quarter hearted positions only here right now - aka Pant plenty down or Pant little down, Sir - hear Owl Hoots very close behind them... and wisely decide best not to have Pant even little down with Owl chasing hard from behind, Sir ...and buy en masse towards all having wholehearted positions in play here over coming weeks ....well then ....some might predict: ''36p imminent tbh'' (Mr spuriouserandspuriouser, Sir)
:-)

I hear you komakino.. and of course something along thoese lines could happen too.. but many outcomes/permutations are possible .... so it is indeed, as they say, 'very complicated' ...and, net net, if AK can get a suspension extension then he should take it imho .. and if a long one, great too .. and if he subsequently gets into a position to strongly come out of that extended suspension earlier than he might have, then great too .. and he might well be able to get that pleny month suspension extension in the current circumstances.. and allow himself conclude on whatever he finally concludes on in SS, and beyond... while not under the - hardcore time pressure - gun ... so to aptly speak in such sad circumstances..

PS; Adding to Tiers point .. for a big success story to occur for long term shareholders here, AK needs to be both good and lucky.... I'm confident he's good... I'm less confident he's lucky.. and if he were to be unlucky more than neutral luck, even then this share may readily not achieve any significant heights in the next few years window.. or next plenty of years window, even..

Generally, in a sector that will ongoingly gently diminish in significance to the World as we go forward, this game is far more about shares with low debt and high profitability, dividends / sell on value in a few year time, very likely... far more than similar in plenty of years time, very hopefully ....

PS: More generally again, my pivot away from O&G and into green economy metals is going to keep gently progressing year on year, I'm confident..

Imho and DYOR

Unless something strongly favourable 'left field' occurs in a deal sense here in the coming month, I'm all for AK gaining an extension to this current share suspension.

This sad Sudan situation should give him a strong case to get such a suspension extension imho.... and that extension hopefully for a good few months more than a good few weeks too, please.

Generally, I don't see Save completing on any South Sudan deal until a sustain/ed/able peace is achieved in Sudan.

Also, while 'academic' I know... but given that this board has plenty of excellent - and much appreciated by me - 'academic' views, I don't feel bad about throwing in an 'academic' view too.. not least as I feel the bulls views have been too dominant here thru suspension and some more bearish posting would be useful as a counter balance towards maintaining a high quality board here.. so:
If this share were to recommence trading next week, for eg, I'd guess there would be a punchy towards very punchy share price re trace in very short order here

The reads across from Empress commentary re Manica 'Ard should not be underestimated, imho Andrew.. So i'm somewhat more bullish than you on the potential speed of s/p appreciation opportunities here off the back of short term Manica 'ard informal commentary from one or both of two angles..

And I'll stick with my previous guess that if Bushranger pre concentration study feedback is 'favourable' then CB will give some form of announcement on this on its own in a - later in - May RNS... (and my guess is the pre concentration study feedback will be 'favourable' )

Altogether, I can see a path as to how this s/p can get to 2.5 p + within q2, 2023 .. but it requires good Manica 'ard progress noted by Empress and or CB in May or June, AND a 'favourable' pre concentration Bush study outcome announcement in May (or June)

Nice to see this little rally in anticipation.. hopefully just warming up.. and maybe those with 'pant down, SIr'... or semi down even might soon feel compelled to add more...

PS: remember that Mr WOS always on look out for those with 'pant down, Sir'... and few would want Mr WOS breathing down the back of their necks when their pant down, Sirs !

Gixxer thinking in that post is plenty along the lines I'm thinking here .. and good answer by Howzap imho.. much appreciated to you both ..
To answer Fosters Question, I'd - wildly - guess 1.75 in 10 chance of that

OR

Save just looks to get involved in Etinde, in whatever way they deem optimal, via an arrangement with Bowleven around its Etinde stake/carry, please*

(perhaps with Perenco and Cameroon blessing, ideally.. including Save having cash to put too large development costs for bigger share of the pie from Lukoil & Perenco in return....
...or, alternatively, if Save feels the need to play hard ball with Perenco re Chad government and it maybe getting in bed together; without Perenco's blessing, even.. etc.. )

If with Perenco's Blessing: Save and Pereoco become friends via Etinde .. and, off the back, friendly around Chad 'arbitration situation' too ( eg reach a three way arrangement between Chad Government, Perenco and Save to take - ex Exxon - Chad assets forward strongly and mutualy beneficially)

Please *: as my bet on Bowleven, while pretty small, is now at basket case status.. and it/Bowleven likely needs saving asap now..

The entertainment value alone is huge... and he has good content too .. hugely repetitive granted.. and should limit himself to ten ish posts a day...he won't, of course..
BUT
You have to pay decent money to go to the pantomime .. and often they're bang average .. but no pay here, Sir.. and it's highly entertaining at every turn...

Shout out to Sneaky Doc and Richard Smallwood too ..doing good turns as side kicks to the one and only WOS.

All together now : He behind you Doc .. He behind you....

ps: No Pant down, Doc, when WOS behind you, SIr !!!!!

The plan to get to 10p:

WoS make best ever Cabinet Party
Without Feather, Sir
Richard SmallWood hide in corner with spy camera
He take photos of Ministers with Pant Down, Sir
Richard Hardwood then sneaky out side door
He send sample photos to Ministers next day
Special Certification granted day after
Boom : 10p, Sir

(Very) Hard Breakout(s) if party without feather for Ministers happens....
So instead of deja vu posting 50 plus times here tomorrow Mr WOS, please focus fully Sir on organising party instead!

I identify with that post a lot Banzai, Thanks.

AIM All share Index is my p/f benchmark.. it has gone from 1300 odd in August /Sept 2021 to 770 ish low Oct 2022 .. but it has just not turned back up at all meaningfully so far yet - 820 ish as I type - and this is a big problem in the context of Global Major indices not being off a lot generally versus the AIM capitulation of recent years.

The rule of thumb I've always had is that if major US indices sneeze then AIM catches cold.. or if they catch cold, AIM catches flu.. or flu, AIM pneumonia.... etc.. but AIM caught pneumonia from their cold(s) in 21/22 .. and is still struggling a lot to shrug that serious illness off.. and US global markets, having stayed in at least decent health generally, might soon catch a cold again.. or this time, flu even.... and what that might do to AIM in its very slow recovery from pneumonia state is the big reason I'm not committing more funds to my fairly sickly AIM p/f around now..