RE: multi bag12 Mar 2023 07:25
The trolls are constantly beating the “revenue not profit” drum, and to a small extent I agree with what’s being said, because the way to value LVCG on fundamentals lies on them making an overall profit.
However, they beat the drum so hard and so often that it’s obvious that their aim is to drown out any reasonable debate, and to pedal a narrative that simply isn’t true. Their narrative is that the company “never gives detailed figures” and that it “only ever talks revenue” neither of which is true. The following 3 statements (there are plenty more examples) clearly show that narrative is false.
“reported a profit of £80,000 to LVCG, in addition to the profit share, LVCG was also able to recover £137,000 of staff costs.”
“The Division hosted the 9th instalment of the London show at the Saatchi Gallery and is expected to report a profit for this event and its licence fee income from the licensee StART.Art Korea.”
“subject to EBIT as reported in the audited accounts of Start Art for the year ending 31 December 2023 exceeding £1,482,000.”
Before covid hit, there were 3 detailed brokers notes published for the bricklive division, each of which laid out a clear route into profitability. Of course covid devastated the company. The trolls want to blame DC for that, but reality check, even DC can’t be held accountable for governments around the world shutting down live events. Many bigger companies have gone to the wall, yet LVCG have not only survived and streamlined the bricklive operation, but have diversified and added three further growth divisions. So as well as recovering post covid, they have been running 3 x start ups at the same time. Once this long awaited new brokers note is available it will finally restore the financial guidance and investors won’t have to do so much guesswork and research to understand the potential.
And for the trolls constantly banging that profit drum, of course getting to profitability is the key for any start up, but all startups have to get over the “death valley curve” https://hbr.org/2022/04/an-entrepreneurs-guide-to-surviving-the-death-valley-curve
Firstly they have to find a business model that generates revenue, then generates a profit, and which can then be scaled up. The reason people invest in aim is because if you find a company that can get over that curve, with a scaleable business model, then the rewards far outweigh the risks.
So where on the journey are LVCG? IMO they are at the scaling up stage for all four divisions. Get to profitability for each division first, and hopefully that profitability covers the central op costs and the company will make an overall profit. If you do enough actual research it’s blindingly obvious that lvcg will get to overall profitability in 2023.