FT Alphaville11 Aug 2020 16:29
After a little nudge from my good self and Sailing John, the FT Alphaville have now covered PLUS today:-
Turning to reader requests, Cyprus/UK/Seychelles regulated CFD punter counterparty Plus500 says it “delivered an outstanding performance during the first half of the year, driven by the strength and differentiation of our proprietary technology, which enabled our business and our customers to benefit from the unprecedented market volatility.” But then, Plus500 says a lot of things. Here’s Canaccord:
Total revenue was $564.2m, as reported in the pre-close update (7 July), +281% y/y. Of this, client losses contributed 1%. EBITDA was $361.8m, +452% y/y, giving an EBITDA margin of 64%. The company has announced an interim dividend of $101m ($0.9531 p/s) and is launching a new $67.3m share buyback today. As previously indicated in the pre-close update, active and new customers reached record levels during the period. The company has also been given “Preferred Technological Enterprise” status by the Israeli Innovation and Tax Authorities, meaning it will benefit from a reduced corporate tax rate of 12% (versus the full rate of 23%) until at least the end of 2021. The outlook statement is confident, indicating that customer income so far in H2’20 is more than double the prior year, although heightened market volatility is expected to normalise. We will review our forecasts post today’s update, but we expect meaningful consensus upgrades are likely on the back of a very strong half. The interim yields 5.8% and the share buyback 3.9%, for a total of 9.7%, which we think is likely to provide support to the shares.
And Liberum (house broker, obv):
The record 1H20 results are due to more than just favourable market conditions. They also reflect the benefits of the group’s best-in-class platform, which continues to deliver despite lower leverage limits. Its scalable technology and agile marketing algorithms has enabled it to win significant market share, drive continued improvement in financial returns, and be one of the first companies in Israel to receive the status of a Preferred Technological Enterprise. This accreditation brings a number of benefits including significant tax credits, which result in us increasing our medium-term EPS forecasts by an average 21%. Despite this positive medium-term outlook the shares trade on just 8.6x our revised CY21 earnings. As a result, we reiterate our BUY rating and increase our TP to 1950p (from 1680p).?.?.?.?
Although the strong top-line performance delivered in 1H20 results in us marginally increasing our revenue forecasts for all years, we leave our EBITDA estimates unchanged to reflect the investments made in the platform during the period, and the potential for further spend in the medium-term. This, combined with a lower than expected net finance charge sees us increase our adjusted PBT forecasts by an average 2% over the FY20-22 period. Assuming that the group is able to sustain the tax incenti