Panmure Liberum upgrade2 Jul 2026 09:40
Panmure Liberum has upgraded CMC Markets PLC (LSE:CMCX, FRA:T8Q) to 'buy' from 'hold', arguing that a jump in the trading group's guidance marks a structural shift in its earnings.
The broker nearly doubled its price target on the stock, raising it to 700p from 380p.
CMC Markets, the London-listed spread betting and online trading company, on Wednesday lifted its forecast for net operating income in the financial year to March 2027.
It now expects £550 million, well above prior guidance of £460 million to £480 million.
That new figure sits at least £70 million above the top end of the previous range.
Panmure Liberum said this was not a modest beat but a re-rating of the company's whole earnings trajectory.
The analyst pointed to a disclosed earnings figure of £250 million on a measure stripping out interest, tax and other charges, implying a margin of 45%.
Crucially, the broker noted that operating costs, excluding variable staff pay, remain pinned at £280 million.
That means almost all of the extra revenue is dropping straight through to profit rather than being eaten up by higher spending.
The broker attributed the improved outlook to a run of new product launches and faster growth in the company's business-to-business arm.
It also credited the operating leverage built into the model, whereby rising revenue is not matched by rising costs.
The scale of the upgrade underlines Panmure Liberum's conviction that CMC Markets has moved onto a materially higher earnings base.