RE: Any day now, really?27 Dec 2023 10:47
Hello, Vikinglass, seasons greetings to you and all of that .
Assuming MB has given an open and honest update in his RNS, (it would be illegal if not!), then we can expect to see oil and revenue pump within the next 4 to 5 months.
Once revenue is turning, the SP would be higher. I personally do not mind a funding round, as long as it is based on a decent SP so as not to dilute too heavily. Somewhere circa 35 p per share would be ok in my mind.
That said, with 850 BPD from the one Heron site and an expected gross margin of around $45 per barrel, this equates to about $40,000 margin per day. Or one new well every month, which would multiply up quickly the more wells you sink, assuming the same flow rate.
That would be hugely easy to go to the markets to borrow and easy to service as a financial cost as well.
I don't foresee there being much justification or excuse for doing a raise at these SP levels.
This is my hunch.