RE: Otc5 Sep 2023 10:03
I approve of your choice of cigar, but could never get on with Guinness. Slight preference for Caffrey's, if no good red was available :)
You are probably the only poster here (or on the other chat board) who could buy this company yourself, without it making too much of a dent in your overall net worth, I presume.
I do not share your confidence unfortunately, but as I have said before, you have my full respect and who knows? You might be right.
You do not have the success you have had in the markets over however many years, without getting more big calls right than wrong and presumably, going against the tide fairly often too.
But IMO, in the case of this outfit, you would need root and branch management reform/clear out from the get go, and Bergen onside too, of course. I would also have some forensic accountants go over the whole operation, a really comprehensive comb...ultra due diligence. Beyond the normal level of dd that typically takes place during your vanilla M&A process.
I wonder what price Bergen would relinquish their interest here, out of simply curiosity? If the alternative was zero, you would have thought they would take a big haircut to get something back, but that is merely speculation on my part and I could be 100% wrong.
You would also, IMO, need to inject quite a significant amount of fresh money into the business, to shore up the balance sheet, so it could weather future delays or complications. At least two full years worth of expenses IMO.
Anyway, enjoyable to chew the fat and so much easier to discuss than to actually do, in the real world :)