RE: SURE - MFAI Comparison15 Aug 2025 07:37
So SURE is far more highly geared to the SVV1 fund than MFAI is, 25.9% to 13% (ignoring for now the 22.9% of SURE that MFAI owns), in SVV2 there holdings are fairly similar at around 6% each & MFAI has 16% of SVV3 & SURE owns none of it.
I'm using Napster to demonstrate the gearing
SURE valued its Napster holding at $8.3M in July 2024 (at the $5.3B Napster valuation) which was then revalued to the $12.5B valuation less 20% in its Q4 RNS. So MFAI's direct Napster valuation would have been $4.18M with an additional ($1.9M via its SURE holding) & if SURE is paying out cash to MFAI then any SURE shareholders would get exactly the same payout per share. Giving them the opportunity to invest it back in SURE or depending on the dynamics move some over into MFAI & benefit that way.
SURE has but 2 assets now, its investments in SVV1 & SVV2 which combined are valued at £14M 31/03/25 , it has 6,756,616 shares in SVV1 which were valued at Euro 2.77 each at the end of 2024 dropping to Euro 2.483 at the end of Q1 (there year end) = Euro 16.776M meaning over 90% of there value is tied to SVV1 that is not the case with MFAI.
So any uplift in the values of SVV1 exists will boost SURE much more than MFAI conversely if any exits are achieved at lower prices than there book value then SURE's NAV will drop a lot more in % terms than MFAI's will.
And I think Napster makes up around 50% of the value of SVV1 currently based on that $12.5 Billion valuation less 20%
LOTM