Today's Investor Presentation5 Jun 2025 17:43
Did anyone else tune into today's presentation?
As a non-RFX investor, but with a significant holding in H&T, I found it interesting how - proportionately - Ransdens' pawnbroking division forms a much smaller part of the whole.
Interestingly, they referred to the current gold price multiple times, saying their budgetary assumptions were that this would eventually drop.
Though Peter did also admit he'd got gold price assumptions wrong multiple times before! It backed up my view that a premium-priced takeover-induced exit from H&T when gold is at/near historical highs might prove to have been quite timely for shareholders. There again, gold could just carry on rising.....
The presentation also suggested Ramsdens SP had been boosted by H&T's takeover bid, in which case I suspect this may prove to be temporary. But again, who knows?
I found Peter's style confident (almost to the point of slight arrogance/complacency at times). Certainly a very different character from Chris G. He didn't feel FirstCash's takeover deal would have any great impact on Ramsdens. I'm not so sure. FirstCash is well funded and US companies have a tendency to be far more ruthless, expansionary & aggressive in their growth strategies.
Overall, it reinforced my view that there will likely be better entry points for RFX some time in the future. The SP just feels a bit frothy to me right now, buoyed both by the high gold price & (to me, unlikely) takeover speculation.
Not to detract from the business in any way, as it does come across as tightly run with a higher ROCE than H&T ever managed.