RE: Valuation Disconnect1 Jun 2025 06:16
The Company have set this up in a clever way for an aim Pharma, study the history and structure and look at current vehicle of SVNS.
Many junior Pharma's have a product that they may be able to sell a few units to the NHS or FDA, they raise and raise again for many years trying to prove it up, sometimes they get a trickle of sells, other times they go bust.
This Co own the IP that David Nutt provided, he has overseen it along the way, they have raised private capital to get it to the stage of a 2/3rds to 1/3 cost with a NHS trail at Exeter and 7 other sites, two main funders, Nicholas Nelson and one other background funder have carried this risk.
At this progression point they have let a ii into the funding round as stage 111 trial meets their risk profile, and the same people have taken more themselves, this time at 13p.
They have funded the project via latest placing, to the point of NHS results and stage 3 rollout into the NHS if there are no snags.
If there are some snags and they need more cash then the white knight funders from its Awakn days own 264m shares at 1p - Lenders warrants shown in the prospectus.
Dennis Purcell has options on 45m shares at 6p.
If those were both exercised then the Company has more funds to finish the tests, equivalent to another placing, if they aren't changed up at this point as the cash isn't required then the holders can leave them until the buyout offer comes in.
Big Pharma will want to be controlling this or chunks of this at the very least at the first sniff of SVNS - 001 passing - not because of the alcohol but because of SVNS - 014 that is sitting in clinical trial - that writes its own cheque, worth Billions as a cure for drug addiction.
So Big Pharma will buy this out at £100 - £200m because this is a self financing cheap way to purchase 001 & 002 but get the prize of -014 'for free'.
Buy, Hold, Wait.