Member Info for LEFKOSIA

because of the computer glitche missed 3 fun bets La RIOJA backed it before, your Cooper, trixie malone and ivors involvement. b---y computer. Mind you had a couple of losers which I did manage to place. Sod's law.

Good evening Harry. Been a very frustrating day. Bl---y computer playing up again. Betfair/internet explorer kept crashing and taking ages to get the webpage back and login. One time took over 10 minutes. Luckily logged in in time to place the top up bet on sds's winner. Got 14/1 yesterday with the level bet of £10 and in the rush placed a further £25.90 as the top up bet to recover the past losers of £259 at 10/1. The top up bet should have been £11.90 as losses and stakes can increase rapidly at that level of losses and projections showed my £300 stop loss would be hit by the end of the meeting if the last 3 all lost. After £300, dependent on the odds, it can get out of hand hence setting the loss level there. I've called it a day on Cathy and written off losses of £180. I missed your Cooper tip which was also a fun bet for me as a guy of that name rescued me from my ex wife and took her off me. The trouble with SDS is one cannot rely on form to filter the bets on him as he continually wins when one least expects it and loses when one expects him to win and of course the big money winners will be missed.gla

Harry, Harry Bently's stats look impressive both showing profits to level stakes. Do you know anything about him?

SDS came good again recouping previous losers and adding another £60 to the pot.The Epsom tip came about because I noticed that at the last Epsom meeting a local trainer had a 12/1 winner and looked for local trainers who had runners today and only found S Dow. He had only 2 one a non runner. Pity about the odds but at least it did win. Now to see about Cathy.

Epsom 4.10 511331 El Campeon Distance Winner 3 9-2 S Dow H Bentley 100/30 s.dow' stables are at Epsom Harry Bentley Vital stats Period Runs 1st 2nd 3rd Win% £ level stake Last 7 Days (Combined) 17 5 2 3 29.41 7.25 Season (Combined) 197 43 15 21 21.83 120.43

Emblaze1 I haven't been able to get radio commentary on Betfair the last couple of days but their tv facility works. Is it them or me?

Good morning all. Have had to adapt my strategy with Cathy as she has had an appalling run of losers and winning £100 a winning ride was too ambitious. I was not that easy with that as losses can mount quite quickly on a bad run and I didn't have sufficient back data of her rides on my spreadsheet hence my decision to reduce to £50. Subsequently my stop loss kicked in and I have now reverted to the safest £10 a winning ride. Will take some time to recoup the £100 odd lost on her which may not be achieved and may have to write it off as a bad decision. Still I did make some past profit from her until now. Thanks Harry for mentioning Fergal Lynch he is on my Radar. WTD and his father make a good combination for my staking strategy as they have had some good priced winners. My staking policy works better with longer priced rides as it keeps the stakes lower on a losing run GLA.

EMBLAZE1 good morning. It's certainly raining heavily here today in Surrey. As Harry says lots of non runners and upsets on days like this. I like your way of thinking when selecting your bets. My strategy however takes no account of form. How many favorites get beaten, including odds on? Quite a lot. How many upsets are there at long odds? The answer is not that many but my observations lead me to conclude, surprisingly enough to make a profit. The biggest problem in not losing one's pot or not increasing it is all the losers. That's why I introduced my recovery of past losses into my staking plan.NOT DOUBLING UP as that can be a recipe for disaster, but trying to recoup them based on the next selection's odds. As in spread betting the key is not to oversize one's stakes. At your level of stakes my win £10 per winning bet may suit you when using it with SDS the statistics of which are as follows. Month ended 24 July 2015. 34 winning rides = £340. If one excludes 3 odds on winners 310. Maximum fund required for losing streak £74.32. If odds on bets are included maximum fund would have been £113.96 which is why odds on bets are excluded. Month ending 24 August 2015. 29 winning rides = £290. If one excludes 3 odds on winners £260. Maximum fund required for losing streak £237.80. 18 losing rides on the trot. That is when I extended the no bet to include odds of up to 2/1 if it fell in the middle of a losing streak. At the beginning is ok or if the stakes are low. If that had been done then the maximum fund required to fund that losing streak would have been £143.40. If odds on bets are included maximum fund would have been £289.18. Month ending 24 September 2015 so far. 5 winning rides = £50. If one excludes 1 odds on winner £40. Maximum fund required for losing streak £64.27. If odds on bet is excluded maximum fund required is £27.72 which is the reason why odds on bets are excluded. I still do bets of evens up to under 3/1 but as single bets outside the strategy at my standard bet size of £10 win. Should they lose they are added to the losses within the strategy to be recovered fronm the next winning ride. In your case that could be £3 to £4. Give it a go on paper or use the goal of winning £1 per winning bet for real but that might be too low if one had a bet where the odds were 100/1 as I believe the minimum bet these days is 10p that's why I use the minimum goal of £10 per winning bet. If one makes the goal £100 per winning bet then multiply all the above by 10. BTW all bets are to win no matter what the odds. Doing them each way makes it too expensive. If one raises the amount to win from £10 then a stop loss policy would have to be considered and a slightly different staking policy introduced thereafter until all losses have been recovered. p s taking betting decisions based only on form precludes bagging those big priced winners.GLA.

emblaze1 I have windows 7 but I think it may be the websites themselves. I also have trouble with Capital SPREADS charts which seem to cause the website to crash which can be very scary trading forex 'cause that can move very quickly and if one has failed to put a stop loss in can be very worrying. I don't always have time to put a stop loss in if I am scalping. re your tipster link how good are their 2 daily free tips? Also their lucky 15 results looks good.2400 odd points in profit and we are only 8 months into 2015. Harry Knigelk Acker they say bETFRED Pay a bonus of 10 if one gets 4 winners and triple the odds if one only gets 1 winner. Instead of doing these long odds tips ew why not include them with 3 other horses do a £1win lucky 15 on Betfred and get 66/1 on a horse like today? It would mean upping the stake from my usual 1 ew cost of 2 to 15 but has the advantage of the possibility of just 1 other dare I say 'cert' from 3 choices to combine with it. The other horse would have to be only evens or more to beat the triple odds offer. Food for thought.. ..

Thank you again Harry for pointing me in the right direction re Fannie Norton . I did all his rides and picked up the 22/1 winner albeit with a trial £1 ew. I thought Fannie was a girl but you said 'he'. It was a funny days racing for me. I was not fully prepared and as a result made mistakes. I actually won £25 on SDS's loser by mistake making a bet for Sue Icon v on a par which paid 2.5 instead of a straight win bet. I have no idea where the page came from and thought that non runners had reduced the field to 2. Also I was unable to recoup all sds'losers with his final mount winner because Internet explorer was playing up again and not responding so just missed getting on the top up bet. Does anyone else have trouble with plug-ins crashing and Betfair not responding or is it just my computer?

Emblaze1 re SDS and that link. No I don't use their statistics I use my own, built up from 24 June. My SDS strategy is not based on form, OTHERWISE it would not capture big odds AND longer odds winners and I don't have access to inside info except through Harry to get longer priced winners.Longer priced winners are not form horses otherwise their odds would be shorter. Sorry I may have misled you, I use Sporting Life Racing Results service not Sky to access their archive of the last months results for selected jockeys and trainers which forms the basis of my spreadsheets. The rest in down to me to analyse those results and come up with a strategy to use them. The main aim is to pick a winning jockey/ trainer/or combination of both and adapt my staking policy to see if it would work and if it does then I start placing bets. SDS has paid handsomely so far. WTD could work but that is based on ignoring all his really long odds rides. I may be shelving Cathy after her present run of losers is over and when I have recouped all her previous losers as I had to exercise my stop loss on her which is set at £100. Either that or I raise the stop loss level. My stop loss level on SDS is £300. The SDS strategy means bcking all his rides with the exception of odds ons and odds of evens to under 3/1 and odds of 20/1 and over. These are bet separately at level £10 win wagers or in the case of odds over 20/2 £1ew but in view of the SDS 100/1 winner I may change that in the future. Should they lose the losing wager is added to other losers within the strategy to be recovered from rides with odds of 3/1 or greater. Hope this helps.

lot of late money on cathy in 3.05 my stop loss kicked in am behind in betting got 9/1 very recently now 6/1 only have 11 at 9/1 no top up

sds next horse is odds on just do normal level stake wager do not include recovery of losses. dont normally do odds on favs even sds's

will post later as racing has begun. only had 10 on SDS' SUZY ICON AS ODDS under 3/1 little tweak to recovery of losses will explain later as have to get bets on.

Harry thanks for your take on TREVE. It was exactly that reasoning re lightly raced and trained for a specific race that led me to LITIGANT at 40/1 in the Betfred EBOR at YORK. I have since checked out African Queen's form and it's not that bad, been beaten by some good horses with pretty good form.

eMBLAZE1 don't feel silly posting tips that's what this board is for. we can all learn from each other we all have losers inc Harry. Thanks for the link here is their free tip for today and ties in with Harry's take on Franny Norton. Little Earner head-horse Today Today's Little Earner Tip goes in the 4.25 at Yarmouth Our tip is: Afkar 8/1 1pt EW A course and distance winner who should enjoy being back here at Yarmouth. Franny Norton booked on this horse, which is a positive and he is in pretty good form at the moment. Can go close off a mark of 60 and is good EW value.

HARRY, thanks for your take on the ARC. just had £20 to win on TREVE at 2/1 could have had 3/1 last week. I see G Horn has drifted to 9/1 following his narrow defeat by a nk, but Jack Hobbs is 6/1!

Harry best of luck with P HANAGAN today IF you are to continue. Remember the two losing stakes from yesterday divided by the odds on his first ride today plus 1 point to be wagered on his first ride today GL

Harry no long odds Fahey rides today so no strategic bets to place. I missed the 17.40 at newm yesterday otherwise there would be £20 to carry forward to recover on next nag(s) at 10/1 or over. Will do Sammy jo's as a single bet at 5/1 as you have tipped her.

emblaze1 what is SDS FRT that you require the link to as I have googled it and nothing comes up?