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My contribution curtesy of Daily Punt see also link below http://dailypunt.com/trainer-track-profiles/?e=1 Today’s Selection 15:50 Wetherby Kauto Stone (FR) – eachway bet – 10/1 Bet365 Josh, over at racingtoprofit.co.uk has produced another brilliant free report for you to start using straight away this jumps season. Every time you look at a handicap hurdle or handicap chase this report will be of use. It will help you identify potential winners, at decent prices, in no time at all. In a matter of seconds you can see which trainer has a positive or negative record in these races, which jockeys they employ to decent effect and which ones do well with their handicap debutants. You can grab your free report http://racingtoprofit.co.uk/trainertrackprofiles This report is a snap shot of the brilliant ‘Trainer Track Profiles 2015/16’ guide. This ‘stats pack’ is full of positive and negative trainer stats for every one of the 35 winter jumps tracks this side of the Irish Sea. Click Here to Read On & for Today's Tip PS If you have trouble following the links in our emails just go to Google and type in DailyPunt.com the latest article is always on our home page. Knigelk I may change my mind about multiples but I'm yet to be convinced. It's like winning the lottery. Great if it comes up but too many losers. I have also started to do a few ew's instead of my standard 10 win only up to odds of 19/1 especially as SDS has his fair share of payable placed rides when he isn't winning.. gla

EmBLAZE 1 The trouble with most tipsters is they invariably go for the form horse and low priced horses. Prime example below albeit a free bet from yesterday. Didn't do it and not sure what odds were but Sporting Life said opened 5/4 and SP 10/11 ALTHOUGH THE TIPSTER claims it was 5/1 at time of posting. Clearly good info as it led start to finish but one can't go far wrong by only following Harry. Those long odds tips more than make up for the near misses and also rans. In all my betting life of over 50 years last 8th October I have never come across a more consistent tipster at very good odds than ole Harry boy. Another tip. When on a losing run take a break. Never let it run to your 30 odd. SDS had a recent stinker about 40 without a winner. Luckily it coincided with my break with horse betting. He is now back on the winners again a 16/1 recently. I stopped following Cathy Gannon on a losing run. As KNIGELK said we all have them, don't let it get you down and as always only bet what you can afford to lose. Free Tip Tuesday Dear Lefkosia, It's free tip time with today's coming from Miles Tredwell of the Syndicate... 4.00 Musselburgh. Trafalgar Rock. 1 point win. 5.5 Bet365/10Bet, 5 BetVictor/Ladbrokes (not BOG until 9am) Odds as advised when posted at 10pm Mark Johnston's Trafalgar Rock had a series of near misses before getting off the mark two starts ago. That was just his sixth run on turf (form so far 252251) and considering that half of those have been in higher grades than he tackles on Tuesday he looks a clear contender. His efforts on All-Weather surfaces haven't been as strong (642362225) despite largely being in lower grades and has seen him a beaten favourite several times, so the return to turf should be a positive after his recent failure at Chelmsford. Another factor in his favour is the apparent lack of pace in Tuesday's field. Most likely rivals such as Silver Shuffle and La Bacouetteuse both like to held up and come with a late run which isn't going to be helped if this is run at a crawl. The former finished like a bullet to take 2nd last time out, following a collection of similar efforts but was flattered by the tiring field being strung out, not to mention the then leader exiting the race through the side rail in the run for home. Similarly, La Bacouetteuse has won his races when coming from the rear and his last time out win takes the 10 year-old back up to his highest winning mark. It's the sort of set-up that plays into Joe Fanning's hands and few are able to influence a race as much as he is. If nothing else takes it on then he may sieze the opportunity to lead the way and slow things right down, or if another makes a change of tactics and attempts to lead the way then he's likely to sit off them and avoid a battle. Fanning has an outstanding record in longer races- since 2011 backing him in all at races at 13 furlongs or further would have had 77 success at a 21% strike-rate and bring a 192 point profit and that's at SP- and his partnership with Johnston which has had over 400 winners in under 5 years remains the most prolific out there in recent years. With a single non-runner affecting the number of places and a tendency for runners from the yard to either win or fail badly and thus not be make each-way appeal, a win only stake is advised. Best wishes, Matt Houghton Editor Betting Rant 1st (3) 1 Trafalgar Rock M Johnston 4 10-0 J Fanning 10/11f Made all, driven clear 2f out, ridden over 1f out, stayed on well opened 5/4

for tonight. 10 Draw (5) Silk Horse/Recent Form Indian Affair 7 417232 C2 D1 CD1 Age 5 Weight/(OR) 8-13 (67) Equipment tb Jockey/Trainer Franny Norton Milton Bradley 7/1 15/2 Win or Each Way 8/1 SP Pedigree b h Sleeping Indian | Rare Fling (USA) Runner CommentsC&D winner. 3 wins from 19 runs in GB this year. Latest win at Windsor in August. Very good second of 13 in handicap (12/1) at Leicester (6f, soft) 7 days ago. Has good chance on form. Recent Form Date Course Dist Going Eq. Race Type FP Jockey (OR) 06 Oct 15 Leicester 6f Soft tb Flat 2/13 Franny Norton 68 19 Sep 15 Wolverhampton 5f Fast tb Flat 3/12 Royston Ffrench 68 10 Sep 15 Chepstow 6f Good to firm tb Flat 2/10 Royston Ffrench 66 21 Aug 15 Wolverhampton 5f Standard/Fast tb Flat 7/12 Ciaran McKee 63 10 Aug 15 Windsor 6f Good to firm tb Flat 1/10 Ciaran McKee 63

I agree Harry's late info is tip top. Have to watch KNIGELK a bit more he seems to be on a roll of late, shame about Captain Cullock but must have helped your ew's. Only did 2 of Harry's today so ahead on the day £55.

fOR anyone interested. In a comprehensive and candid appraisal of his 2015/16 National Hunt squad, Anthony Honeyball lifts the lid on his hopes for this winter's jumps season. Watch and listen here As well as the audio, I've compiled some slides with summaries for each horse; and there's a running order below the video in case you're interested in one or more specific horses. It's all here I hope you get some value out of it. Anthony has a really solid team for the season, and there are definitely a few to keep very much on the right side. Best Regards, Matt p.s. if there's a more down to earth and honest trainer than AJH, I've yet to meet him/her. You always know where you stand as an owner (or part-owner) and I respect that trait greatly in a game where bluster and half-truth seems to be the norm... http://www.geegeez.co.uk/anthony-honeyball-stable-tour-201516/

only 2 winners out of 6 today SDS 5 /1 and Roadie Joe what a great price 8/1 good tipping Harry. The other one only just got beaten into 2nd so £100 up on the day.

Mixed day for me yesterday just backed THE cAESAREWITCH all losers but did not notice the winning jockey was same as on Third Time Lucky and at 50/1, Could have had the double in hindsight, recouped the losses on SDS’winner to stay £25 ahead on the day. Missed Harry's 5/1 and 14/1. The trainer and jockey had a 40/1 in the next race. Obviously the trainer did not think it would win just like the trainer of the caesarewitch winner. Evan williams has got 2 going today. A lot to be said for locally trained horses. I think Harry has tipped Roadie Joe. Also missed York 20’s 7/1 winner and KnIGELK’s 20/1. Nigel, how did you chose Empress Ali? Well done. 15:20 11th Oct 15 Chepstow 2m 11y C2 Ballyglasheen (IRE) Paul Moloney 9/2 16:30 11th Oct 15 Chepstow 2m 3f 100y C1 Roadie Joe (IRE) Paul Moloney 13/2 GLA.

Statistical help with tv races today from gee gees. Sat TV Trends: 10th Oct 2015 in Horse Racing Blog - News & Info | geegeez.co.uk, Saturday TV Trends /by Andy Newton Decent cards at Newmarket and York this Saturday, including the Cesarewitch Handicap – we’ve got the key trends for all the LIVE TV races. Find those TV winners! NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends and Stats (RUK/C4) 2.00 - Dubai European Breeders´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4 Only 1 previous running Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds here Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 27 with his 2 year-olds here Trainer Sir Michael Stoute is just 3 from 41 with his 2 year-olds here 2.35 - Vision Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4 10/10 – Won over at least 7f 10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks 9/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out 9/10 – Raced at least twice before 8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March 8/10 – Favourites placed 8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before 7/10 – Won their last race 7/10 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting 5/10 – Irish bred 4/10 – Favourites 1/10 – Irish-trained winners The Charles Hills yard won the race 12 months ago Kingston Hill won this race in 2013 The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1 Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury 3.10 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4 12/13 – Ran at least 3 times that season 12/13 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley) 11/13 – Placed last time out 10/13 – Won over 7f 9/13 – Placed favourites 8/13 – Ran at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (4) last time out 8/13 – Won at least 3 times 8/13 – Foaled in either Feb or March 8/13 – Won last time out 8/13 – Won a Group race previously 7/13 – Won by an Irish-based stable 6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less 5/13 – Priced 20/1 or bigger 5/13 – Placed horses from stall 2 5/13 – Favourites 5/13 – Trained by Jim Bolger 5/13 – Ridden by Kevin Manning 4/13 – Placed in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season 2/13 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season 0/13 – Winners from stall 1 The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1 3.50 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4 12/13 – Aged 4 or older 11/13 – Won over at least 1m6f on the flat before 11/13 – Raced within the last 2 months 11/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting 10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight 10/13 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season 10/13 – Placed 4th or better last time out 9/13 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower 9/13 – Aged 5 or older 8/13 – Won over at least 2m on the flat before 8/13 – Won 4 or more times on the flat before 8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less 7/13 – Raced at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out 7/13 – The first three home returned double-figure odds 7/13 – Had run at the track before 6/13 – Won by a NH trainer 3/13 – Winning mares 2/13 – Favourites 2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson 2/13 – Won their last race The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 24.5/1 Just 2 winning favourites since 1993 YORK Horse Racing Stats (RUK/C4) 1.45 - TitanBet.co.uk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m208y CH4 Only 4 previous runnings Richard Fahey (2), John Gosden and Mark Johnston have won the race 4/4 – Unplaced in their last race 4/4 – Ran in the last 4 weeks 4/4 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower 3/4 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight 3/4 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting 3/4 – Won 2 or 3 times before 3/4 – Rated between 93-98 2/4 – USA bred 2/4 – Winners from stall 4 2/4 – Trained by Richard Fahey 1/4 – Favourites Mark Johnston is just 5 from 81 with his 3 year-olds at the track William Haggas has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at York 2.15 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4 Just two previous running Luca Cumani won the race in 2013 Charlie Appleby (Godolphin) won the race in 2014 No winning favourite yet Mark Johnston is just 3 from 75 with his older horses at the track Andrew Balding is only 3 from 45 with his older horses here 2.50 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4 12/12– Raced within the last month 11/12 – Foaled in March or later 11/12 – Won between 1 and 3 times 10/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting 10/12 – Won over 6f before 9/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season 9/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more 9/12 – Never raced at York before 7/12 – Favourites placed 6/12 – Unplaced in their last race 6/12 – Raced at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out 4/12 – Winners from stall 2 4/12 – Won their last race 4/12 – Favourites 3/12 – Filly winners 2/12 – Placed horses (both 2nd) from stall 1 2/12 – Trained by Tim Easterby The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2 3.25 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl

link does not work so see below. Cesarewitch Trends Selections Posted on October 9, 2015 by Dave French • 0 Comments Nick Hardman has had a scorcher of a year for his Big Race Analysis horses over at the Betting School Insiders Club (You can get the rest of Nick’s tips for today’s racing at http://bettinginsiders.com) and he’s also put a good few winners our way for free :-) This week he looks at the Cesarewitch to see if he can repeat last years double. ______ It’s the second leg of the “autumn double” with the Cesarewitch at Newmarket this weekend. We landed the double last year courtesy of Bronze Angel and Big Easy and we got the first leg of the double this year thanks to Third Time Lucky. Again, I will be looking to the race trends to try and find this year’s winner. This race has gone to some big priced winners in recent times including winners at 66/1, 66/1 and 25/1 in three of the last four renewals. Weight and official ratings do not tell us much regarding longer term trends but 5 of the last 6 winners carried under 8st 12lbs. Aaim To Prosper was a massive trends buster in 2012 winning off a mark of 107 and under a welter burden of 9st 10lbs (and an SP of 66/1). Aside from that exception the other winners since 2006 were rated 87 to 94. Four of the last five winners were rated 87 to 89. With the exception of Scatter Dice in 2013, the previous 11 winners had winning form over 2m or further. Hurdlers have finished in the top two in 14 of the last 18 renewals. Other strong trends include a top 4 finish last time out and no more than 7 runs in the season. Sticking to the narrow ratings band of 87 to 89 we have one runner in Steve Rogers who ticks plenty of boxes, although he has to overcome stall 33. Up 4lbs for a 2 mile success LTO at Chester he is open to improvement having had just 10 career starts. If we relax the ratings band of the previous winners to 87 to 94 then that brings Noble Silk and High Secret into the equation. The latter has beaten subsequent Glorious Goodwood scorer Sands Of Fortune this season and just lost out to Seamour at Ascot earlier in the year (a horse who has won 5 of his 9 career starts). Noble Silk has had a light campaign but was only 24th in this race last year and was trounced by current second favourite Heartbreak City at York. On that score I’ll give him a miss. I probably want a dual purpose runner on side too and current favourite Low Key makes plenty of appeal having won the trial race going away. Saturday Newmarket 3.50pm Low Key @8/1 Skybet Steve Rogers @25/1 e/w Betfred (1/4 odds, 5 places) High Secret @25/1 e/w Betfred Bet365 (1/4 odds, 5 places) Today we have a great card at Newmarket too and the Group 2 Challenge Stakes has a few decent trends. 3yo and 4yo runners have won 7 of the last 8 renewals, and 14 of the last 18 winners could be found in the top 5 in the betting. There has been just 1 winner since 1997 who raced in the previous 15 days and 14 of the last 18 winners were rated 110+. All of the previous 18 winners had won at the distance and 15 of the last 18 finished in the top 6 LTO. That leaves us with Markaz as the trends selection for Barry Hills, a trainer who has won this race 6 times before: Newmarket 2.40pm Markaz @11/2 Bet Victor

For anyone interested. I picked Third Time Lucky independently using R fahey's horses at odds between 11/1 and 19/1 but see below sp was 14/1 but i think i got it at 16/1. I mistakenly thought it was the St Ledger in an earlier post but of course it was the Cambridgeshire. Nick Hardman has had a scorcher of a year for his Big Race Analysis horses over at the Betting School Insiders Club (You can get the rest of Nick's tips for today's racing at http://bettinginsiders.com) and he's also put a good few winners our way for free :-) This week he looks at the Cesarewitch to see if he can repeat last years double. ______ It’s the second leg of the “autumn double” with the Cesarewitch at Newmarket this weekend. We landed the double last year courtesy of Bronze Angel and Big Easy and we got the first leg of the double this year thanks to Third Time Lucky. Again, I will be looking to the race trends to try and find this year’s winner. This race has gone to some big priced winners in recent times including winners at 66/1, 66/1 and 25/1 in three of the last four renewals. Click Here to Read On & for Today's Tip PS If you have trouble following the links in our emails just go to Google and type in DailyPunt.com the latest article is always on our home page. gla

Off topic.Good afternoon chaps. Been busy trading the FTSE so no time for the gee gees Been missing some good priced winners as a result but still getting a buz from the FTSE. Best one yet this morning made £400 in 20 mins before going to a hospital appointment. Did you know one can spread bet Fitbug on IG. Took a £499 buy position @2.03 and already losing £154 to add to my other fitbug losses.Harry/ Acker/ Knigelk please tell me it is not going sub 1p.

Harry did not bet today so missed your 14/1 and sds

EMBLAZE1 I don't pay for tips especially as we now have Harry's inside info. off topic Oxus Gold now taking off don't leave it too late. put in stop losses and stop limits.I've staggered the stop profit limits at 4 to 40 times buy price. got most of mine at 3p top price paid 3.91p GLA 20york my other half has same better success with the National than me with her fun names and some of my longer odds winners have been fun names.

GOLDEN HORN DEFINITELY one of the Greats AFTER ARC triumph. 12 Sep '15 Golden Horn saved the day after the stewards enquiry so just about broke even but great race to watch. If he pulls off the Arc which I think Nijinsky failed to do then my maybe will change to a definite for one of the greats. I took 9/1 when he drifted after his narrow defeat by African Queen which I have backed against TREVE tomorrow with SDS on board.GLA

aPART FROM tREVE see write up on Golden Horn and NEW WAVE i'VE had Golden Horn at various prices includng 9/1 will do New WAVE as well. too late for TREVE. Enough of Treve for now, what of the oppo? Two horses vie for second favouritism at around 5/1, both Derby winners. Golden Horn, winner of the English Derby - and also the Coral-Eclipse and Irish Champion Stakes, locks that precious tyne with New Bay, winner of the French Derby and Prix Niel. The former, trained by John Gosden, has yet to be supplemented for the race, though he is almost certain to be. Gosden has yet to win the Arc from a fair few attempts, but he'll have had few better bullets to fire than this fellow. Initially considered a doubtful stayer at the mile and a half trip, he wasn't even entered for the Derby, that supplementary fee coming off the back of a highly impressive win in the Dante Stakes at York. Since then, he's looked the clear pick of the domestic three-year-old middle distance crop, wining the Derby in great style before taking on and beating his elders - and female peers - in both the Eclipse and the Irish Champion. A blip in the Juddmonte International is forgiven in what looks a progressive profile where ratings give him little to find with Treve. New Bay may be less familiar with British racing fans, but he is a high class - and potentially very high class - three-year-old. But for an unlucky in running second in the French 2000 Guineas, Andre Fabre's son of Dubawi would have been unbeaten in five starts since filling the same placing on debut. Another for whom there were initially stamina doubts, he began to disabuse those in the Prix du Jockey Club (French Derby) over ten and a half furlongs, and he knocked them into a cocked hat when waltzing away with the Prix Niel. Andre Fabre is the master of this race, his seven Arc victories unmatched in history, and he has been making some pleasing noises in what amounts to posh 'trash talk' in the run up to Sunday's showdown. He was quoted after the Prix Niel as saying, "I was happy with New Bay. He clearly showed he gets the distance and the ground didn't bother him. It was what he needed and it was a nice, easy race. Based on the way he was finishing at Chantilly I had very little doubt about the trip for him - not based on his pedigree but on the visual impression of his Jockey-Club win. He certainly seemed happy with the distance on Sunday. The experience I have is if you want to have a chance in the Arc you need an easy prep race. That is what he had." Before he closed, he added: "I'm not involved with Treve, but I would repeat that you need an easy race before the Arc." The implication that Treve may have left her race in the Vermeille will have irritated connections of the super-mare, but M. Fabre is not one to idly flimflam, and he may have a point. It makes more sense to focus on his horse for the purposes of this preview, and his horse has abundant talent, ascendant form, and an impeccable trainer. At this point I need to declare that the manner of New Bay's win in the Prix du Jockey Club saw me scrambling for a bit of Paddy's 14/1 despite concerns about his ability to get the longer trip at that time.

Back all R fahey's nags at odds between 11/1 and 19/1. The last time produced the winner of the St Ledger Third Time Lucky 14/1. see below current list which includes TATLISU. CONCENTRATE ON ODDS OF 12,14 AND 18/1 13:45 3rd Oct 15 Newmarket 6f C2 Bahamian Bird P Hanagan 16/1 14:25 3rd Oct 15 Redcar 7f C5 Dose T Hamilton 14/1 14:50 3rd Oct 15 Newmarket 7f C2 Nimr L Dettori 11/1 15:35 3rd Oct 15 Redcar 7f C1 Dusky Queen (IRE) T Hamilton 14/1 15:45 3rd Oct 15 Ascot 7f C2 Heaven's Guest (IRE) Sammy Jo Bell 12/1 15:45 3rd Oct 15 Ascot 7f C2 Rene Mathis (GER) George Chaloner 16/1 15:45 3rd Oct 15 Ascot 7f C2 Farlow (IRE) D Nolan 16/1 15:45 3rd Oct 15 Ascot 7f C2 Tatlisu (IRE) Jack Garritty 14/1

interesting write up on the ARC. It's Arc weekend, meaning four Group 2's and SEVEN Group 1's. We've got loads of coverage on geegeez, including: Full Arc Preview, and Tips Arc Weekend: Saturday Preview Sunday 'Undercard' Preview plus more that can be viewed from http://www.geegeez.co.uk Bonne chance! Matt

off topic. Things may be about to happen at OXus gold at long last see rsn 'very near future' could be a multi bagger to compensate for the Fit bug shambles.

Emblaze1 et all see betting punt below for anyone interested. Just took a peep at Fitbug. What the hell happened there? Are you (Harry) AND Acker still invested and topping up? Nick Hardman of Betting Insiders managed to find the winner of the Cambridgeshire for the second year running last week, this year at a tasty 14/1 SP. This week Nick looks at the Ascot Challenge Cup. You can get all of Nick's big race selections at http://bettinginsiders.com Here's Nick... We managed to repeat last year’s winning trends selection in the Cambridgeshire last week when Third Time Lucky went in at 14/1. This weekend’s big handicap is the Ascot Challenge Cup and we will be taking a close look at that race today, together with an each-way bet from today’ Ascot card. The Ascot Challenge Cup is a 7f heritage handicap with a field of around 20 runners. Last year’s winner Intransigent returned an SP of 16/1, becoming the first double-figure priced winner since Advanced in 2009 who went in at 33/1. Looking at the age of the winners since 1997, 4yo’s have supplied 7 and 3yo’s have supplied 5. No horse over the age of 6 has won in that time (but in fairness not many have run). Eight of the last nine winners were aged 4yo to 6yo and I am going to concentrate on that age group. Seven of the last eight winners were rated 99 to 105 and all of the last 5 winners were rated 100+. Click Here to Read On & for Today's Tip PS If you have trouble following the links in our emails just go to Google and type in DailyPunt.com the latest article is always on our home page.

Emblaze 1 Betting doctor link try this http://mail.canonburypublishing.net/c/1EKRKifG28IYXPBSd3nDIOd8