RE: BRENT14 Feb 2022 09:05
Mike,
Crude will bob along at this level with the key driver being Ukraine tensions. Drop a couple of dollars on a chance of a diplomatic resolution, spike on escalation and that will probably be happening hourly. There has to be a diplomatic solution here and if so, Putin will be the victor as he has to take a positive back to his people. Military escalation is not a win for Putin and that will damage the Russian economy and create more unrest, weakening his position at the top. Thin lines but it's sabre rattling for me, everything else damages Putin in the short/medium term.
Current market is well bid again up to 450k @ 4.11p, 650k @ 4.06p, offer at 4.34, 5%+ spread, good ole MM's. To sell @ 4.11p and be able to buy cheaper ? yep, obviously possible with the tensions but you have to counter that with the multiple news releases ongoing this qtr and throughout 2022. News tomorrow or Wednesday, hopefully will more than counter any political negativity.