RE: What would it actually take for Wood to go under?11 Apr 2025 11:06
Icecool, you whole post is a complete nonsense:
1) If Wood has breached their covenants, the lenders can demand debt repayment in full abyss time, not in Oct 26
2) You can definitely kiss $450 mn EBITDA goodbye in the current oil price environment
3) Regardless of EBITDA number, Wood was going to lose $150-200 mn this year, from FCF standpoint. In reality, it will be closer to $250-300 mn but we’ll see
4) Clients will postpone and cancel projects, it just takes time. Wood will announce it after it has happened. Expect revenue to drop this year and next one
5) If I were contemplating a large O&G project, I wouldn’t give it to Wood in its current shape and form if there are other competitive offers. Just way too risky. Or I would structure it so that there are no prepayments
6) The worst case scenarios is that equity is completely wiped out, one way or another. A classic understatement of risks