RE: GROK22 Apr 2025 22:01
Micky, I am trying to be sincere and genuine with you here, but Hemogenyx are struggling to fund one patient per month with the current SP and the penny pinching placings. Bottom line is 1 year or 3 years it might aswell be 100 years. Hemogenyx cannot afford to get to Phase 2 trials. After patient 3 or 4 they can accelerate and treat bi-weekly and then eventually restrictions lifted completely. Your talking about needing 10m+ per year going forward and not 2-3m we have seen. To raise 10m via placing means giving away 150% the shares currently in issue, even to raise 3m means going over way over the 30% limit that would trigger an automatic takeover bid if to an institution, Peterhouse or SP Angel could never raise it at this price. So at this price Hemogenyx is DEAD, bottom line, relying on placings they are not a going concern and they are finished. I dont want to sound melodramatic, but I want there to be no room for a misunderstanding, HEMOGENYX CANNOT CONTINUE CLINICAL TRIALS RELYING ON PLACINGS.
So what does that mean? It means that Vlad HAS to give up a percentage of HG-CT-1 to raise money, its that or lose it all, and it has to do it soon before they run out of cash so in the next month likely. There are 2 likely options, VC or JC, both mean an injection of millions for x% of HG-CT-1. What does that do to the SP??? If a pharma or VC injects HYPOTHETICALLY 5m for say 30%? It means they are valuing HG-CT-1 in a distressed state at 15m+ right now. Thats ONE candidate out of multiple, so what value does that put on Hemogenyx? What does a cash injection of say 5m mean to an mCap of 7m? And once there is a JV or VC on board? Are they going to let HG-CT-1 run out of cash and fail? We should be talking a year or years free of dilution, free of placings, when Hemogenyx actually have cash in the bank and no fear of placings do you think the trolls will short or shout placing every day like we have experienced for years?
The SP IS stagnant, it has been stagnant for a very long time but it will not be for much longer, the head room is gone, the company have zero options right now other than to actually secure millions to progress the trials and they cant do it with dilution. They either secure the funding or they go bust, I cant guarantee they will deliver, I cant say the SP wont go to 0, there is always a risk but my money is on Vlad landing a VC or JV in the very near future.
Micky as much as you may act the fool your not stupid, you and I both know the SP here has never been about the science, its always how long to the next placing, who is gonna do it and how much damage will they do on the way down shorting and forward selling before it lands. The true value of hemogenyx is just a piece of paper in a drawer nobody reads because all that matters is the trade and the flip. Vlad is a brilliant scientist and what he has achieved is truly nobel prize worthy yet his company is worth nothing. Until.... Until the placings are gone... That point is he