RE: Sidara would determine31 Mar 2025 22:19
OK so the RNS was a car crash - especially around providing auditors with false/misleading infomation over the last few years - unbelieveable but true...I can only put the need for an independent review down to a 'whistle-blower' at Wood or one of Wood accountants.
That aside...
Last week, Sidara and Wood Group pushed back the bid deadline to 17 April. Reuters reported that: 'Sidara had wanted the review to be completed before making a formal bid'.
I cannot help but think that as part of Sidara's access to Wood information and due diligence, that Sidara already knew about the draft review and has verbalised a low-ball offer based on the outcome of the review (probably over the weekend). Based on this, Wood has now released the draft review in order to pave the way for investors to expect a low ball offer.
Given the above, Sidara now has the (more or less fully completed) report in draft format 'before making a formal bid'.
Will Sidara now strike with a final formal bid while Wood and its institutional investors are at their lowest? That is the question. Every negotiation has to time their offer perfectly in order to buy at the right price. Personally, I think Sidara will make a low-ball final 'take it or leave it' bid of circa 85p. I expect this to land this week or Monday next week. This final offer ought to be attractive enough to be accepted by all and sundry and 85p should do it...any higher would be a massive bonus.
Sidara win - game, set and match. Wood shareholders win and the majority of shareholders make a profit, especially recent shareholders. LTH can move on with minimal damage. Wood and its employees win as it can quickly start again under the Sidara banner.
In addition, the longer this negotiation between Sidara and Wood draws out, the more likley talented and experienced Wood employees will look for work elsewhere with a more stable company in the UK or overseas.
If Sidara hestitates (or walks), then Wood will become very focused and may actually start to finally get its act together - starting with the completed (not draft review), then audited financials, followed by debt refinance terms (based on audited financials) via the new interim CFO and his team.
Further, if Sidara does not act quickly, there is a risk that another bidder could swoop in with an offer for all or part of the Wood pie. Or more likely, Wood starts to turn its fortunes around. Either event will push the Wood share price higher.
Lets see what this week brings...hopefully a realistci bid from Sidara of circa 85p (or more).
Wood - what a rollercoaster ride. Up down, side-spin, tumble-turn, back-ward flip...not for the faint heartered, or anyone with motion sickness! Lol