#HEMO - State of The Nation29 Jun 2023 11:11
Before I start, well done to the moderators of LSE who have committed to keeping a close eye on the HEMO forum following feedback from myself and a few other shareholders. It looks like they deleted a post today which was blatantly disruptive.
Here is my 'Objective' view as a well researched shareholder - going into the AGM tomorrow:
Current Share Price
Undervalues the company's progress significantly the company is very close to entering the clinic with it's lead candidate with a market Cap of £20m - which sits well below most comparable companies. Not all of #HEMO's eggs are in one basket - it also had CBR and CDX which have huge potential as well.
However. LTHer have claimed the SP is very low for a long time. The current market does not look favourably on small companies with high risk. The Biotech sector has also been in the doldrums for a while. Finally, the UK market has been accused of not valuing Biotech to the same degree as global markets.
The recent placing raised £4m at 2.5p. This is good recent benchmark. Since the placing, there has been lots or great news (Successful completion of CAR-T manufacturing runs, significant award of Options to CEO, +submission of IND) but also the recent clinical hold.
If you a confident that the clinical is a short-term blip - I would suggest that 3p is a good target
If you are concerned that the clinical hold is more serious - you may be best waiting for the update from Hemo on why they are confident in resolving it. 1.5p to 2p does still feel reasonable, even cheap with those concerns
CAR-T
Hemo have advanced CAR-T from the lab (H2 2019) to IND submission (H1 2023) and are now ready for clinical trials
Historically CAR-T has not proved successful on AML - unlike ALL and other cancers. This is the opportunity that Hemo are pursuing . They have been working in tandem with PENN University whose lead scientist was responsibility for the first two FDA approve CAR-T therapies.
Hemo have identified a new protein to target and have Patented this approach. They did a huge amount of work in 2021 on the safety aspects of the therapy and are now ready for clinical trails.
Having submitted the IND in May, the FDA were not ready to permit Hemo to start clinical trials at the end of the 30 review period. Therefore they place a clinical hold on CAR-T - Most clinical holds are lifted within the first 4-5 months and Hemo have stated in an RNS that they are confident of resolving any FDA issues. Infact, they believe they knw the main issue and have already been working on it.
That said, the market does not yet know what the reason for the Clincial Hold; more importantly the market does not know how long it will take Hemo to resolve.
Hemo have been waiting for the formal FDA feedback - which is sent by letter within 30 days of the clinical hold. If they have not received it yet, it should arrive before the middle of next week.
Continued >>>>