RE: Nice rise on Friday21 Sep 2021 22:38
I still so not understand why people doubt they can maintain a good roic.
If you said the following:
1. You are an expert in looking at bets.
2. Before you bet, you can look at 100 games and choose to play 3 you like the best( invest in 3%).
3. You can choose a game where if you win, it can be a multiple of what you loose if the bet goes bad ( asymettric returns)
4. If you bet with a friend( 3rd party fund). You get your winnings, and your friend gives you a bonus equal to your winnings.
This is essentially the LIT proposition. Sounds good!
The new 3rd party funds ( point 4) massively improve our future odds. Because your payoff when you win is doubled, and your loss is the same. We cannot change odds of winning courtcase, but 3rd party funds massively improve our implied odds of making profit.
Even better because of 3rd party funds we can 100s of bets rather than 10s of bets. This will smoothen out the return profile, reduce risk and also give a more steady profile of realisations.
Evem better the cost ( staff cost) of deciding what to play is semi fixed. The staff cost as % of your bets does not massively increase with valuenof total bets.
Seems great to me!.
Simon thompson from investors chronicle knows his stuff.
The posts RE, firm always promising revenue tomorrow, well it takes 27m on average for realisation so during this 27 months of waiting it seems reasonable to say gains are coming later.
Also blaming issuing shares to raise the initial funds to start the business seems harsh ( you need to get your initial stake).
We are now entering period where past bets (investments) realise; we make good profits.
And even bettwr will be in an environment where there are lots of cases to choose from when reinvesting.