Sealed bids29 May 2020 11:28
Hi guys,
For some reason my posts asking for opinions on why we haven't progressed to sealed bids already were removed. I cannot fathom why this hasn't occurred unless there is a roadblock. The roadblocks I can think of are the ROC gov.t at the behest of China, or Glencore. ROC is easy, they're deep in China's pockets and may have said you sell to them or you sell to no-one. This would make sense in my mind as ROC needs China to build out the port, railways, energy plants, steel mills etc etc. Zanaga effectively pays for all of this. Glencore I can only imagine holding things up for the right price and/or they want some form of trading rights to the ore. Given the debt ROC owes to them there could be something in there as well. I definitely believe there's things happening behind the scenes, but cannot reason why sealed bids hasn't been pursued given FMG and Vale would be interested in participating (as they did for Simandou), and the price we would receive would probably be on par to that realised at Simandou, which is f'ing huge. Why wait around if you're free to do this...? End it all in the space of a few months, and do it cleanly. What could be stopping this?
Full disclosure, I currently hold 300k shares and my target is 750k, so definitely a buyer. I have been here for years (another handle - long story) and held up to 650k at some points so have seen this up and down too many times to count.
Extrader, I do value your thoughts, what do you think about potential roadblocks to sealed bids?