RE: This is how I see it.27 Jan 2022 15:16
BenA
Vametco/Vanchem costs the wrong way round .. Vanchem is about $7/$8 more expensive, but makes premium chemicals
Other big thing missing is the general admin and operational costs. the $23/$23 is not all-in (excluding capital needs)
Also, it is 74% not 75%
What you miss next year is that at least 800 tonnes will be 'sold' to BE, then processed and sold at a premium as electrolyte (either to a direct customer or the rental vehicle). I am guessing a profit equivalent of circa $10/kg
Add in of course the premium for electrolyte and additional premium if rented .... At next years production of circa 5400mtv I would not be surprised to see an EPS above 3.7 and the following year above 6 as production ramps further.
Thing is, it all neds on what assumptions you make.
What is very clear is:
1. Future very strong and growing FCF
2. Future strong and rapidly growing EPS
Does not take a genius to see even on a modest PE an SP of 70-100 and if a solid forward discounted calculation is done, knocking that sometime this year !
Just keep meeting the targets, growing the margin, growing the revenue streams.... and GET OFF AIM !