RE: shell v bp21 Feb 2020 14:15
I think you ask a great question Spikeyj. Indices and an awful lot of stocks are at or near all time highs. Only the commodity markets seem to be pricing things in. I've bought RDSB, GENL, PMO and KAZ over the last couple of weeks and bought BP today as they have all dipped to reflect the current situation. I think they will all benefit from an inevitable recovery in commodity prices when viral fears subside. If the alternative is buying Apple or Amazon on steep valuations and crossing your fingers that everything is OK, I don't want any part of it. I've also gone long on a derivative of the Baltic Dry Index as the shipping market already has risk priced into it. Worth remembering that progress was made in the US/China trade dispute before the virus reared its ugly head. That's definitely a tailwind for commodities and shipping this year.