RE: Tom W26 Jul 2024 18:07
As is well documented by now, Ben is implicitly starting from a position that Kefi will get screwed in their JV in SA. If that was the case then we would a.) have those assets taken away on the (relative) cheap, and/or b.) would have to raise to pay the outstanding debt at a time which suits them rather than us.
However, all indictions to date are that that will not happen, and indeed that Kefi's partner is supportive rather than predatory. In that case, the situation looks rather different. In that case, Kefi can pay the debt when it suits them, or conceivably even carve out a small fraction of the TK finance instead (I'm unsure to the extent that these deals are ring-fenced).
So a much better question than whether there will be a raise soon, would be - what price would a hypothetical raise be at? If Kefi can get the TK finance signed off within the next month and a bit, and can hold off raising for that short period, then perhaps a raise could be done at twice the price of today.
To conclude, raising the possibility of a fund raise is lazy deramping and implies a raise, if there is one, would be done lower than today's price. A lot of if's in there. Just as many as in any ramper's posts.