RE: Mine finance5 Nov 2021 12:35
I'm seeing a few comments suggesting we ARS has valued KSK at only £50m for 51%. That's simply not true for staged earn-ins. The project as it stands, just BKM copper project - not the entire potential for KSK - is still in design stage and does not yet support the increased target of 25ktpa for 10+ years. So the first payment from DD of $10m for only 10% of Indokal is, from DD's perspective, very expensive i.e. very good for ARS shareholders.
I see a comparison below suggesting the project was valued by ARS at £160m in the AE deal but today its £100m. The AE deal included a hard to value trading business in the IPO price so a straight-read across is not possible.
Investors buying ARS now, realise this deal isn't just about doing some value engineering, its about drilling the entire KSK area, completing all detailed design, permitting and getting the mine to production [with the balance of equity from offtakes] whilst also meeting KSK CoW local content requirements.
Investors will understand that means no further dilution even at the point of project finance and, all being well, no further shares issued in ARS. Investors will additionally understand that the value of this $50m from a cost/access to capital perspective to a junior is worth more than some care to appreciate and has the potential to unlock incredible value to the project and the resource that far exceeds anything the AE deal purported to do.
As for Beutong, I am sure there is plan brewing there too that will protect ARS shareholders from any further equity raises and set course for new, deep level exploration.