BOTTOMLESS BEAR19 May 2022 13:12
we continue the drop today, and the market has no end in sight i my view.
If we go back to 2008-2009 where governments lowered rates to near 0, and it took them nearly 10yrs to start raising them, would it not have been an idea to have raised rates by 25bps every 2 yrs from 2014?
We now have no solution to stop a recession nor inflation rising.
Looking at 80’s ( i know this was a different environment ), we went to 12% interest rates due to high inflation.
Going on fear gauges over last 30yrs, the fear gauge is at 32 pts today, it hit 57 pts in 2020 and 44pts in Dec 2008 after Lehmans went solvent.
RIO / BHP is now on a watch list rather than my radar. I can foresee <4000p over the next couple months by St Ledgers .
GLA