RE: Share Price Depression20 Apr 2019 15:14
Albi1
As you say the question was posed by Nigwit who, judging by posters comments is not well received on this board, which may explain the lack of response.
The question is when will peak oil demand happen (assuming it will happen in the foreseeable future) and for HUR holders the relevant time scale is probably the next ten years. Clearly when it does happen investors will sell and the savvy investors will have sold in advance. It’s not difficult to appreciate the probability of overselling.
However the peak could be more of a plateau:
“A more realistic assessment from Shell Oil is that oil demand continues to grow over the next 20 years, a view shared by rival BP and energy consultants like Wood Mackenzie. More importantly, most believe peak oil will have a long tail and that oil demand – set to reach 100 million barrels a day this year – won’t fall off abruptly even after it peaks. Instead, it should be considered a plateau rather than a sharp peak.”
www.forbes.com/sites/daneberhart/2018/09/18/forecasts-of-peak-oil-demand-overstated/