RE: This is.....22 Oct 2020 07:51
Pondering - whilst I would not describe my thoughts as ‘expert’ I do have my own methods to try to come to valuations (where possible). In this case I have been looking at other mineral sands companies. Image Resources is one such example I have found. In summary and very rough description, They have an operating open pit mine, profitable - decent margins, a larger resource than CML but definitely smaller grades. Current MC £113m.
My feeling is that at this stage of development for CML, with their resource and given its high grade - which is very positive - circa £20MC is fair value, certainly not expensive. We can assume the valuation will be accretive as they move along the development cycle. Also they are very likely to increase their resource through additional exploration - possibly substantially.
So I think CML looks likely to be a decent investment with say, a 1-2 year outlook. To add to the attraction we look to be entering a commodities bull market.