RE: Skin in the game - RNS15 Jun 2021 10:13
On dilution,
I think most investors here are aware and know that. to arrive at that position (raise for production), we would have discovered a He field or two, or nine, appraisals completed and sp would be north of £1 (see H&P). therefore likely raise will be at that price point, sufficient to leverage debt against it (30:70 split?).
simple calc- at $50mm total raise needed to move to production, assuming a 30:70 split equity to debt, we will need 15MM likely at £1 per share at that point. 15MM shares perhaps, or lets be a bit ambitious, we raise £20MM or 20MM new shares @ £1 perhaps for a bit more liquidity on top of 614MM in circulation now? peanuts in terms of dilution. debts can be bank loans or RBL, or bonds via Pareto and the like (8-14% coupon maybe, don't know the current market enough but back in the days pre retirement it was between 5-9% depending on various parameters). and post dilution (after capital raise), it will take the market cap to around 30-50% of NAV (pre production).
Of course, you and in fact anyone can wait and join in at £1 or post dilution thereafter and only be exposed to development risks only. your call buddy. your money. wait with popcorn or jump in now, your choice really. DYOR and GLA.