RE: just some facts24 Jun 2021 12:37
ST ("I mean, if you want to derisk, this is it!")
I am with you on that for anyone who wants to do it, its now or never as once this hits He, the next floor will be £0.31 (as per H&P) - it doesnt matter if 2 out of 3 fails for Tai.
saying that, the fact if was declared we have a working seal and trap for He in the subsurface recently should give you some comfort we hopefully will get some results, soon.
If you look at the risked and unrisked valuation from H&P:
we have an underlying 3p from options, 21 raise and YE cash (1p each) assigned, under risked column
Tai risked - 4p, unrisked 31p
Mbumi risked - 6p, unrisked 37p
Itumbula risked 5p, unrisked 29p
Kasuku risked 7p, unrisked 28p
So if we hit 1 of the targets for each above, we should be at £1.28 (£1.25 + 3p)
If on our first drill, all 3 targets are dusters for Tai, we still have other targets therefore the unrisked (minus Tai) is 97p and risked is 18p.
Will it be a duster on Tai on all 3 targets? i don't think so but lets wait for the wireline logs to give us the good news tomorrow or weekend (or Monday / Tuesday next week).