RE: Distressed seller5 Nov 2025 12:12
Agreed Sircadian,
Totally obvious there’s an agenda here. This looks at least 30p undervalued in my view, so I’m happy to keep adding small tranches while it’s still this cheap.
Still plenty to play out.
On Tamari’s, they mentioned on day one after getting the award that companies were already reaching out. Since then, they’ve done a proper deep dive into the geo work and identified some monster prospects with real legs. If there was interest before, this just amplifies it.
What this team does best is picking up assets nobody’s paying attention to, stripping them right back, and rebuilding the story. They’ve taken it from around 250 BCF up to 1 TCF potential - that’s no small upgrade. It was also mentioned that the adjacent block comes up for licensing in December (need to double-check that), but the play looks like it could extend right across. Could easily evolve into a hub-scale development beyond 1 TCF if it plays out.
Also saw a few comments about the “drill location decision” being a red flag that would delay things - not really the case. From drill location decision to spud typically takes about 6–18 months, mainly depending on regulatory timelines. Malaysia usually takes 3–6 months for approvals, while the UK is more like 6–9 months. The Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) can take up to 3 months, but if the EIA is already in place for drilling (Which would be likely since this isn't the first well being drilled), that can shorten things to around 3 months total for approvals.
So all in all, my take is we’re looking at late Q3/Q4 next year for drilling as a guess - pretty reasonable.
And then DEWA just takes care of itself. I'm expecting to see a block award for the adjacent Temaris block, Farmout, News on drilling, DEWA updates, possible acquisition.... Thats my Hitlist.