84.4p NAV12 Jun 2026 11:20
As at 31 March 2026, the Group's unaudited Net Asset Value (NAV) was £67.9 million, or 84.4p per share.
Glenstone are bidding 70p per share, representing a c.17% discount to the last reported NAV.
Possible outcomes:
Under 50% – Offer fails. This is essentially the status quo, albeit with a more frustrated and potentially more activist Glenstone.
50% to 75% – Glenstone gains control of the company and can control the board, but cannot unilaterally pass special resolutions such as a delisting or voluntary wind-up.
75% to 90% – Glenstone can generally pass special resolutions, including potentially a delisting or managed realisation/wind-up.
Over 90% – Glenstone can generally use the statutory squeeze-out provisions to compulsorily acquire the remaining shares.
Current support
Concert party: 26.36%
Hawksmoor letter of intent: 6.17%
Total support indicated so far: c.32.5%
Therefore Glenstone requires a further 42.5% of the register to reach the important 75% threshold.
Remaining shareholders = 67.5%
Therefore, of the remaining shareholders, Glenstone needs:
25.9% support to reach 50%
63.0% support to reach 75%
In other words, Glenstone needs almost two-thirds of the remaining register to support the offer in order to obtain the level of control required for major corporate actions.
Personally, I struggle to see two-thirds of shareholders accepting 70p when the last reported NAV was 84.4p per share.
I would say to Glenstone, if you really want it, come back with a better offer and we can consider it. But selling at the 6 month low is not appealing.
If they genuinely thought AIRE was a disaster:
why increase the bid from 66.5p to 70p?
why seek full control?
why commit more capital?
They're not running away from the assets. They're trying to own more of them.