Investment Case20 Nov 2025 10:36
It's basically all lined up:
*Massive resource, all open pit
*Excellent economics, IRR 31% WITHOUT the CBS2 $100m p.a.
*Road and power supply already in place
*Mining licence in place until 2042
*Clever metallurgy boffins on the staff
*Directors have big holdings
*Fairly stable, mining friendly, Western friendly jurisdiction
*Top backing from Mick Davies
*Loan agreed for construction
*Equity funding being negotiated
*Partial offtakes agreed, more to come
*There could easily be a divi of 5-6p when in production in say 4 years' time.
Everyone understands that there will be further dilution for the equity component of capex, but should be at much higher prices. If you want to be really conservative then assume 1bn shares in issue eventually (I think it will be less).
It's certainly not risk-free, there is always a level of risk with junior miners, but I'm struggling to see much of a downside risk from 8p.
Just my view, NAI