RE: More of the same please30 Jul 2024 07:46
I would have to agree RJ, looking positive, though with reservation. What do we know already? That we have seen Helium shows of up to 4.7% but that was insufficient, in itself, to announce a "commercial" find on the previous Itumbula data - why was that? The combination of Basin configuration, reservoir "reserves", Helium concentration and flow rates was insufficient to make this a commercial proposition. What is unclear to me is which of these "metrics" the BoD are hoping that drilling deeper will change? The "reserves" issue I think is a given (it will flow for an eternity) and we know that by drilling deeper the Helium concentrations are likely to increase BUT the basin will not change and as this is not a typical "Basin" with gas constrained and under pressure beneath an impervious layer, how does added depth increase pressure and flow rates? Does increased heat at depth increase flow rates? If so by how much?
We know that there are Helium seeps at surface of 10+%, so without increased flow rates what is the level of Helium concentration needed to make it "commercial"? At the last interview they ruled out the possibility of "stimulation", so where does the increase in "flow rate" come from? In the Helix interview of the other day they highlighted the importance of flow rates in their own equation (far lower Helium concentrations but with a traditional basin model) so where and how does this change with depth in the He1 "model"....
Anyone with any experience or knowledge of geology and gas extraction shed some light on the above?!