RE: Churn9 Sep 2024 11:33
I am not sure that I have a "theory" - I do think that, right now, this is a short term or traders market. Most of what the market has been waiting for in terms of EWT etc is now known and I do not think there are likely to be many surprises up or down until we get the Mining License and subsequent funding and, or a JV. So why would anyone be hurrying to buy right now, will the Mining License submission or any of the underlying numbers contained within it "move the dial"? I will be surprised if so. On the other side of the equation many, if not all, of the short term speculators have had their "play" and are now out of the game until ML approval and subsequent developments appear on the short term horizon. So I think that the sp has found its own level which is unlikely to move much over coming weeks, with the odd exception around drill sin the US when we may well see some short term interest - the question for me is will any rises around the UD drills actually be maintained? Actually I think there is a good chance they will.
So on the presumption that the Feasibility Study is positive and the mining license application goes in without any hiccoughs I expect to see a slow but gradual rise in the sp ahead of ML approval, funding and JV and a very good rise thereafter.
McNol, if you haven't already done so take a look at the URL below and see where you think He1 is on that curve. I have my own view.
https://miningexplained.com/the-lassonde-curve/